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In 2008: Will there be another refusal to send US vaccines for fear of them becoming bioweapons?
Current forecast: 26% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 26% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Indonesia's health minister recently stopped sending bird flu viruses to a research laboratory in the U.S. for fear Washington could use them to make biological weapons.
Although there has been much public scorn - as scientists doubt the viability of creating bioweapons from non-live vaccinations - currently the US have regulations on exporting vaccinations to North Korea, Iran, Cuba, Syria and Sudan.
The regulations, which cover vaccines for everything from Dengue fever to the Ebola virus, mean these countries must apply for special export licenses to receive these vaccinations, which may be denied or granted at the discretion of the US government.
Will this 'fear of bioweapons' lead to another country denying the US access to any other vaccination (or Indonesia refusing the US a different type of vaccination other than bird flu)?
Read more.
Although there has been much public scorn - as scientists doubt the viability of creating bioweapons from non-live vaccinations - currently the US have regulations on exporting vaccinations to North Korea, Iran, Cuba, Syria and Sudan.
The regulations, which cover vaccines for everything from Dengue fever to the Ebola virus, mean these countries must apply for special export licenses to receive these vaccinations, which may be denied or granted at the discretion of the US government.
Will this 'fear of bioweapons' lead to another country denying the US access to any other vaccination (or Indonesia refusing the US a different type of vaccination other than bird flu)?
Read more.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Will be settled as 'yes' if another country denies the US access to any other vaccination (or Indonesia refuses the US a different type of vaccination other than bird flu). One of the reasons for the refusal must be a fear of them being used as 'bioweapons'. If no news by suspend date, question will settle as 'no'.
Make your prediction!
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Activity: H$9,013
Question suspends in 4 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%
Action history:
Created Sun 12th Oct 5:42pm PDT by tisha
tisha
Changed Question text Sun 12th Oct 5:55pm PDT by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... 2008: Will there be another refusarefusal to send the US vaccines for fear of
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
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score: 10
CNBC 5 days ago
JAKARTA, Indonesia - Indonesia's health minister is confident foreign pharmaceutical companies will comply with new rules requiring them to build local factories, saying they would not risk being locked out of
score: 10
The News International 5 days ago
set up to conduct the research on every new virus, including dengue virus, with a view to developing vaccination for prevention, control and treatment of the diseases. Addressing a press conference on 'Causes of Dengue Fever and Preventive Measures' at
score: 10
Reuters 6 days ago
By Olivia Rondonuwu JAKARTA, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Indonesia's huge market for prescription drugs should encourage foreign pharmaceutical firms to set up production plants in the country and comply with a new government decree, the health minister said
score: 10
The News International 1 week ago
By Our Correspondent LAHORE THE Punjab University Health Centre in collaboration with the City District Government Lahore (CDGL) has organised a programme to spread awareness about dengue fever at New Campus on Friday. According to a press statement
score: 10
ABC Online 1 week ago
cases with over 1,200 deaths have been documented since the virus was discovered, according to the World Health Organisation (WHO). The deadliest strain, Zaire ebolavirus, inflicts a death rate of 80 to 90 per cent, followed by Sudan ebolavirus, with a
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