Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

3rd Presidential Debate Oct 15 -- How many times will Obama "set the record straight"?

Voided

Options overlap for a settlement of 4.

Background:

In the 2 previous debates, there were several moments when Obama had to "set the record straight" for McCain. How many times will that happen on the 3rd Presidental debate?

The veracity of the facts in discussion is irrelevant for this market.

The answers on this market refer only to the number of times Obama explicitly and directly states McCain is not telling the truth and/or corrects the facts - eventually using expressions like "I've got to correct Senator McCain on this", "That's not true", "Set the record straight"...- ie, it doesn't count when he just shakes his head or isn't given the chance to intervene.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

0 - it doesn't happen
10%
1-2 times
30%
3-4 times
30%
4-5 times
20%
6 or more times
10%
Voided Sat 18th Oct 4:55pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 15th Oct 5:59pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: 0 - it doesn't happen: 10%, 1-2 times: 30%, 3-4 times: 30%, 4-5 times: 20%, 6 or more times: 10%

Action history:

Created Sun 12th Oct 5:49pm PDT by dogmacentral
Changed Suspend date Mon 13th Oct 2:53pm PDT by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-10-15 12:59:00"
Suspended Wed 15th Oct 5:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 18th Oct 2:55pm PDT by conspiracy2riot: This question is suspended but it has been resolved. Obama said 'set the record straight' ONCE.

News results for 3rd presidential debate: obama sets record straight reported in the San Francisco Chronicle Oct. 16, 2008


BBC News
Heated third debate between McCain, Obama - Oct 15, 2008
Throughout the third and final 90-minute debate, at Hofstra University in ... Obama said he wanted to "set the record straight," noting that Ayers - now a ...
San Francisco Chronicle - 4859 related articles »

I've cut part of the article here:

But as in the first two debates, CNN polls showed that people watching the debate believed Obama won the contest, 58 to 31 percent, and that viewers had more unfavorable views of McCain after the event. A CBS poll showed 53 percent of viewers believed Obama to be the winner, compared to just 22 percent for McCain.

McCain, who needed to seize the moment and show his expertise on the economy, started out strong and on offense on taxes and economic issues, but he veered off into a lengthy discussion of Ayers and ACORN, which he claimed is involved in voter fraud that may be "destroying the fabric of democracy."

Obama challenged him, saying that American voters have pressing issues to hear about and "when people suggest that I pal around with terrorists, then we're not talking about issues."

McCain responded sharply, "I don't care about an old, washed-up terrorist," but added "we need to know the full extent of that relationship."

Obama said he wanted to "set the record straight," noting that Ayers - now a professor of education in Chicago - was involved in radical activities "40 years ago, when I was 8 years old."

Now....can I have my money?
Settlement requested Sat 18th Oct 2:58pm PDT by joaoxxx: Corrected McCain on health care (re:fines). Corrected McCain on Bill Ayers (re: sending 200k to ACORN, etc). Corrected McCain on Education (re:vote for tax increase). Corrected McCain on Abortion (re: failed birth medical care). He also said "let's set the record straight" once and "that's not true" twice. To me that settles either as 4, 3, or 7 if you count both answers. Then again, 4 is there as an answer two times (3-4, 4-5), which might lead to voiding the question anyway.
Voided Sat 18th Oct 4:55pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Options overlap for a settlement of 4.

Suspend date: Wed 15th Oct 5:59pm PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (136)

136 predictions

6 weeks ago
curly predicted 6 or more times (H$20 at 35%)
6 weeks ago
curly predicted 3-4 times (H$50 at 25%)
6 weeks ago
cjg999 predicted 1-2 times (H$100 at 11%)
6 weeks ago
cjg999 predicted 3-4 times (H$100 at 24%)
6 weeks ago
cjg999 predicted 4-5 times (H$100 at 23%)
more

Comments (15)

  1 ianochaye
I take it the reference to "I've got to correct Senator Obama on this" is a typo and should refer to McCain?
posted 7 weeks ago
It's a typo
posted 7 weeks ago
Ok before we begin predicting on this question, id like to set the record straight.
posted 7 weeks ago
This question is not quite right. It should read: How many times will Obama say "set the record straight"?

Just because one candidate "corrects" another does not mean that any correcting was done at all. In fact the straight record could have been the first one said and can only be proven through some tedious analysis depending on what was said.
posted 6 weeks ago
I disagree. This question isn't about the use of an expression at all. As I state in the description It doesn't matter what the correct record is. What counts is the number of times Obama directly and actively implies that McCain is not telling the truth, even if he does NOT correct him, like simply stating "that is not true".

In previous debates these moments were really obvious (and interesting) so I don't think it will be that hard to count them.
posted 6 weeks ago
  6 mork[Power User]
The fact that 'set the record straight' is within quotation marks implies that those words would have to be spoken.
posted 6 weeks ago
No. That's not what those quotation marks are there for. For that purpose there would be the word "say" before que quotation, and also that's why there's a description along with a question wich clears all the details with a question that don't fit in the question itself.
posted 6 weeks ago
The background says "using expressions like "I've got to correct Senator McCain on this", "That's not true", "Set the record straight"...- ie, it doesn't count when he just shakes his head or isn't given the chance to intervene."
posted 6 weeks ago
  9 randburg
Between "that's not true" and "set the record straight", he should easily hit six times in a verocious hour and a half. And I don't think these terriers are going to let go easily tonight.

How about a new word for the hubdub lexicon: "terrierists". Defined as: politicians hell-bent on blowing up an extended political campaign, who just won't let go.
posted 6 weeks ago
  10 destry[Admin]
The background of this question has clearly defined terms for settling this market.
posted 6 weeks ago
Thank you!
posted 6 weeks ago
After scanning the transcript the answer is ZERO times. He said GET the record straight once. - Here is the section.

OBAMA: Bob, I think it's going to be important to just -- I'll respond to these two particular allegations that Senator McCain has made and that have gotten a lot of attention.

In fact, Mr. Ayers has become the centerpiece of Senator McCain's campaign over the last two or three weeks. This has been their primary focus. So let's get the record straight. Bill Ayers is a professor of education in Chicago.
posted 6 weeks ago
Thats funny. I dont remember him saying -- in his speech. I need to pay more attention!
posted 6 weeks ago
  14 oafarivar
wouldn't that count as 1 time then?
posted 6 weeks ago
My question arises because the background says that it's anytime Obama corrects McCain. What happens if Obama's correction is not actually a correction, but just skewed information or a flat out lie? I only reference in this way to Obama, because the question is oriented this way. (Otherwise I'd be questioning how true McCain's "corrections" were)
posted 6 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more