Will the two far-right partys in Austria merge in the wake of Jörg Haider's death?
Settled as No
There is no such news of a serious intent to merge yet within the time period of this question.
Background:>
Jörg Haider left the FPÖ to found the BZÖ because of personal differences with other FPÖ leaders. After his death in a car accident last weekend, will the renegades return to the fold?
Note: As the procedures for party mergers can take quite a long time, a clear signal of intent (such as a joint parliamentary 'club') within the timeframe of the question will be sufficient.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Will the two far-right partys in Austria merge in the wake of Jörg Haider's death?
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Settled
Activity: H$22,186
Settled as
No on Yesterday 5:17am PST
Suspend date: last Sunday 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Yesterday 5:17am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Sunday 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 55%
Action history:
Created Mon 13th Oct 1:39am PDT by
matthelm
Suspended last Sunday 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Yesterday 12:54am PST by
orlin:
No such reports.
Settled as 'No' Yesterday 5:17am PST by
infernalmachine![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
There is no such news of a serious intent to merge yet within the time period of this question.
Suspend date: last Sunday 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Yesterday 5:17am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Sunday 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (23)
23 predictions
2 days ago
freeze predicted
No (H$20 at 80%)
3 days ago
matthelm predicted
No (H$2,500 at 78%)
4 days ago
subreal predicted
No (H$1,500 at 76%)
4 days ago
bernardo predicted
No (H$2,365 at 74%)
1 week ago
subreal predicted
No (H$5,000 at 68%)
more2 days ago
freeze predicted
No (H$20 at 80%)
3 days ago
matthelm predicted
No (H$2,500 at 78%)
4 days ago
subreal predicted
No (H$1,500 at 76%)
4 days ago
bernardo predicted
No (H$2,365 at 74%)
1 week ago
subreal predicted
No (H$5,000 at 68%)
1 week ago
rogi predicted
No (H$100 at 63%)
1 week ago
bernardo predicted
No (H$500 at 62%)
2 weeks ago
youbet predicted
No (H$300 at 60%)
2 weeks ago
exilpat predicted
Yes (H$600 at 49%)
5 weeks ago
steveb predicted
No (H$200 at 50%)
6 weeks ago
bernardo predicted
No (H$50 at 50%)
6 weeks ago
sonse predicted
No (H$50 at 49%)
7 weeks ago
brapchi predicted
No (H$20 at 46%)
7 weeks ago
subreal predicted
No (H$200 at 46%)
7 weeks ago
bgrigore predicted
Yes (H$500 at 54%)
Showing recent public predictions only
less
Comments (0)
No comments yet
Please log in or join to add a comment