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Will the two far-right partys in Austria merge in the wake of Jörg Haider's death?

Settled as No

There is no such news of a serious intent to merge yet within the time period of this question.

Background:

Jörg Haider left the FPÖ to found the BZÖ because of personal differences with other FPÖ leaders. After his death in a car accident last weekend, will the renegades return to the fold?

Note: As the procedures for party mergers can take quite a long time, a clear signal of intent (such as a joint parliamentary 'club') within the timeframe of the question will be sufficient.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
20%
No
80%
Activity: H$22,186
Settled as No on Yesterday 5:17am PST

Suspend date: last Sunday 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Yesterday 5:17am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Sunday 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Mon 13th Oct 1:39am PDT by matthelm
Suspended last Sunday 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Yesterday 12:54am PST by orlin: No such reports.
Settled as 'No' Yesterday 5:17am PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: There is no such news of a serious intent to merge yet within the time period of this question.

Suspend date: last Sunday 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Yesterday 5:17am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Sunday 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (23)

23 predictions

2 days ago
freeze predicted No (H$20 at 80%)
3 days ago
matthelm predicted No (H$2,500 at 78%)
4 days ago
subreal predicted No (H$1,500 at 76%)
4 days ago
bernardo predicted No (H$2,365 at 74%)
1 week ago
subreal predicted No (H$5,000 at 68%)
more

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