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Will the British government acquire stakes in any other bank by the end of 2008?

Current forecast: 62% chance 2%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 62% likely to happen (down 2% in last 1 day)

Gordon Brown has just negotiated a £37 billion deal to bail out the banking sector and act as a 'rock of stability' that the UK Prime Minister claims other governments will copy.

The UK government confirmed that it will pump taxpayer money into Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds TSB and HBOS in an attempt to prevent the UK's banking sector from melting down. The treasury's wide ranging plan includes cracking down on 7-figures bonuses and shareholder dividends.

The government will take the largest stake in RBS, giving £20 billion to take a 60% stake in the bank; and £17 billion in the expanded Lloyds TSB/HBOS group to own up to 45.3%.

Bank CEO and chairman heads have been rolling, and the carnage may not yet be over. There is word that Barclays may yet ask for a piece of the government bailout pie. Will they, or another bank, give the British government stakes?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If no news by suspend date, question will settle a 'no'

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
62%
No
38%
Activity: H$9,888
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 69%

Action history:

Created Mon 13th Oct 9:15pm PDT by tisha[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (27)

27 predictions

4 days ago
dauckland predicted No (H$250 at 37%)
5 days ago
growthy predicted No (H$500 at 37%)
5 days ago
capt_chaos predicted No (H$20 at 36%)
5 days ago
lcsnor predicted No (H$25 at 36%)
5 days ago
aland predicted No (H$50 at 36%)
more

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