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Will STS-126 (Space Shuttle Endeavour) Launch on or Before Nov 15th 2008?

Settled as Yes

The space shuttle Endeavour blasted off Friday evening carrying seven American astronauts on a mission to improve and expand living quarters on the orbiting International Space Station.
http://www.spacedaily.com/2006/081115010316.hkewf8o5.html

Background:

Background: STS-126 is currently scheduled to launch on November 14th 2008. Will the launch be postponed no more than 1 day?

The latest from NASA:
"Endeavour, which was stationed on Launch Pad 39B, is going to launch from Launch Pad 39A so modification work can resume on the 39B complex to host the Ares I-X test flight in 2009. Endeavour is being prepared to fly mission STS-126 to the International Space Station. The shuttle will take equipment to the orbiting laboratory so it can double its resident crew size from three to six.

The astronauts who will fly Endeavour to the station ended their work week by practicing rendezvous maneuvers and reviewing the spacewalks planned for the mission at NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston."

http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/shuttle/shuttlemissions/sts126/index.html http://www.nasa.gov/missions/highlights/schedule.html

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
92%
No
8%
Settled as Yes on Sat 15th Nov 2008 10:22pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 8th Nov 2008 9pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 15th Nov 2008 10:22pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 8th Nov 2008 9pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 80%

Action history:

Created Mon 13th Oct 2008 9:51pm PST by jcollie
Suspended Sat 8th Nov 2008 9pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 14th Nov 2008 7:04pm PST by autotom: STS-126 sucessfully launched as planned.
Settlement requested Fri 14th Nov 2008 11:28pm PST by orlin: Yes

http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/space/11/14/shuttle.endeavor/index.html
Settlement requested Sat 15th Nov 2008 2:48am PST by arcturus: It launched :)
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 15th Nov 2008 10:22pm PST by tisha[Admin]: The space shuttle Endeavour blasted off Friday evening carrying seven American astronauts on a mission to improve and expand living quarters on the orbiting International Space Station.
http://www.spacedaily.com/2006/081115010316.hkewf8o5.html

Suspend date: Sat 8th Nov 2008 9pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 15th Nov 2008 10:22pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 8th Nov 2008 9pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (50)

1 year ago
oppugner predicted No (H$5 at 8%)
1 year ago
jgardner100 predicted Yes (H$20 at 92%)
1 year ago
mistert predicted No (H$100 at 12%)
1 year ago
arcturus predicted Yes (H$100 at 88%)
1 year ago
onedave[Power User] predicted No (H$20 at 12%)

Comments (5)

  1 autotom
this may sound harsh.. but i'm just going to throw it out there...

the shuttle has to 'launch'..

if it blows up on the pad then that totally doesn't count.
posted 1 year ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
That's correct
posted 1 year ago
  3 autotom
this should help - http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/32920

( 10 day weather forecast for cape Canaveral )
posted 1 year ago
  4 oppugner
Weather could rear its ugly head...

Shuttle weather officer Kathy Winters said there was a 60 percent chance of acceptable conditions at the 7:55 p.m. Friday liftoff time and only a 40 percent chance on Saturday.
http://edition.cnn.com/2008/TECH/space/11/12/space.shuttle.launch.ap/index.html
posted 1 year ago
  5 autotom
http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/index.html

watch launch here - 2 minutes to go..
posted 1 year ago

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