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Will Florida Congressman Tim Mahoney be re-elected despite accusations of adultery?

Settled as No

OK...maybe this isn't as bad as the guy Mahoney replaced, remember Republican Congressman Mark Foley and the male intern scandal....But when you're elected to replace someone like that, shouldn't you keep your pants on for a couple of years, or at least until you get re-elected one time?


News reports indicate that not only did first-term Democratic Congressman Mahoney have an affair with a staff member, he may have also paid her $121,000 to keep quiet. This was already going to be a tough battle to win re-election as a Democrat in a normally Republican district, but these latest revelations may have tipped it more in the favor of his Republican opponent, former Army officer Tom Rooney of the famous Pittsburgh Steeler Rooney family.

Congressional seats are usually won by the incumbents, but this one may well go back to the Republican side.

More Info:
Mahoney denies paying allege mistress hush money
http://www.wflxfox29.com/Global/story.asp?S=9174678&nav=menu98_2

West Palm Beach Congressman Tim Mahoney allegedly fired volunteer Patricia Allen after affair
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/us_world/2008/10/13/2008-10-
13_west_palm_beach_congressman_tim_mahoney_.html

Fla. congressman seeks probe after affair reports
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j8SjoKSFxLQVMVHRTLj6tq6DwgfgD93Q09200


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
19%
No
81%
Activity: H$21,536
Settled as No on Thu 6th Nov 7:55am PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 6th Nov 7:55am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Tue 14th Oct 8:50am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 6th Nov 7:12am PST by joaoxxx: FL-16 called for Rooney, not Mahoney: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/main.results/#val=H
Settled as 'No' Thu 6th Nov 7:55am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 6th Nov 7:55am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

4 weeks ago
oppugner predicted Yes (H$20 at 19%)
4 weeks ago
heiser predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
4 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted Yes (H$50 at 19%)
4 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted Yes (H$50 at 19%)
4 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted Yes (H$200 at 19%)
more

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