Created Tue 14th Oct 9:29am PDT by lrossouw

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During which month will Google's Gmail storarge reach 8000MB?

Current forecast: April 2009 (22% chance)

Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is April 2009 with a probability of 22% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Settlement details: 1) As reported here: http://googlesystem.blogspot.com/2007/10/gmails-storage-increases-dramatically.html
2) Or by an admin on gmail.
3) Or if that fails as reported by a major mainstream news source.
* Removing the space cap will be deemed as reaching 8000MB if this occurs before reaching actual 8000MB.
* Where the date falls on 1st or last day of a month the month
as at GMT when the event occurs will be used to determine the month.

During which month will Google's Gmail storarge reach 8000MB?

    Before or during January 2009

    February 2009

    March 2009

    April 2009

    May 2009

    June 2009

    July 2009

    August 2009

    September 2009

    October 2009 or later

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Forecast history, %

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	Before or during January 2009	16%
	February 2009	19%
	March 2009	16%
	April 2009	22%
	May 2009	7%
	June 2009	5%
	July 2009	5%
	August 2009	5%
	September 2009	2%
	October 2009 or later	2%

Activity: H$14,325

Question suspends in 47 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 1st Nov 2009 8am PST (47 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before or during January 2009: 6%, February 2009: 8%, March 2009: 12%, April 2009: 14%, May 2009: 15%, June 2009: 15%, July 2009: 14%, August 2009: 10%, September 2009: 4%, October 2009 or later: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 14th Oct 9:29am PDT by lrossouw

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Suspend date: Sun 1st Nov 2009 8am PST (47 weeks to go)
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Predictions (57)

57 predictions

1 week ago

luckger predicted April 2009 (H$100 at 22%)

1 week ago

moveaway00 predicted April 2009 (H$300 at 18%)

1 week ago

pacman predicted March 2009 (H$20 at 16%)

3 weeks ago

lrossouw predicted April 2009 (H$50 at 16%)

3 weeks ago

lrossouw predicted July 2009 (H$20 at 6%)

more

1 week ago

luckger predicted April 2009 (H$100 at 22%)

1 week ago

moveaway00 predicted April 2009 (H$300 at 18%)

1 week ago

pacman predicted March 2009 (H$20 at 16%)

3 weeks ago

lrossouw predicted April 2009 (H$50 at 16%)

3 weeks ago

lrossouw predicted July 2009 (H$20 at 6%)

4 weeks ago

zarjay predicted March 2009 (H$20 at 16%)

5 weeks ago

filanator predicted Before or during January 2009 (H$29 at 22%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted May 2009 (H$333 at 4%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted June 2009 (H$222 at 2%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted July 2009 (H$222 at 2%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted August 2009 (H$222 at 2%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted September 2009 (H$100 at 1%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted October 2009 or later (H$100 at 1%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted Before or during January 2009 (H$777 at 16%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted February 2009 (H$777 at 16%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted March 2009 (H$777 at 14%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted April 2009 (H$777 at 12%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted May 2009 (H$444 at 5%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted June 2009 (H$333 at 4%)

5 weeks ago

cognos predicted July 2009 (H$333 at 4%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (6)

  1 lrossouw

Doh! I left out September 2009!

posted 7 weeks ago

  2 lrossouw

Can we change oct 2009 to sep 2009
and nov 2009 to sep 2009?

posted 7 weeks ago

  3 lrossouw

that should be nov 2009 -> oct 2009...

posted 7 weeks ago

  4 tomg

Got it - all changes made. I cancelled the one existing predictor's 3 predictions beforehand too so it's fair. Good question, and good luck!

posted 7 weeks ago

  5 lrossouw

thanks!

posted 7 weeks ago

  6 lrossouw

Suspend date can move forward to 1 Oct...

posted 6 weeks ago

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