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How many acres will "THE PERFECT STORM" have burned by 10/17, noontime?

Voided

Unfortunately the market has been voided because getting an exact acre count at noon is almost completely impossible.

Background:

"We're facing the perfect storm," California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger said Tuesday morning. "We have very strong winds, low humidity and the heat."

Statewide, Schwarzenegger said, the fires have burned 26,800 acres and destroyed 64 structures. About 3,100 personnel, including National Guard members, are using 321 fire engines and 22 helicopters to fight the blazes.

What will the stated acres burned be at 12 noon on Friday Oct. 17th?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. What what the Govenator reports.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

30,00 to 40,000 Acres
10%
40,001 to 60,000
20%
60,001 to 80,000
30%
80,001 to 100,000
20%
100,001 to 120,000
15%
Over 120,001 Acres
5%
Voided Fri 17th Oct 3:53am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 17th Oct 6:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: 30,00 to 40,000 Acres: 10%, 40,001 to 60,000: 20%, 60,001 to 80,000: 30%, 80,001 to 100,000: 20%, 100,001 to 120,000: 15%, Over 120,001 Acres: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 14th Oct 11:06am PDT by buckeyetom
Suspended Wed 15th Oct 12:49am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Market Suspended to work out settlement details
Voided Fri 17th Oct 3:53am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Unfortunately the market has been voided because getting an exact acre count at noon is almost completely impossible.

Suspend date: Fri 17th Oct 6:59am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

6 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted 60,001 to 80,000 (H$2,222 at 78%)
6 weeks ago
ryanb37 predicted 60,001 to 80,000 (H$5,000 at 49%)
6 weeks ago
mikeo7b3 predicted 40,001 to 60,000 (H$20 at 16%)
6 weeks ago
bakobull predicted 80,001 to 100,000 (H$250 at 20%)
7 weeks ago
monkey_man_444 predicted 40,001 to 60,000 (H$50 at 19%)
more

Comments (1)

I thought this whole fiasco was over and done with when we solved this summers fires but i guess not. Really a tragedy that people are going to have to go through this again.
posted 6 weeks ago

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