Created Tue 14th Oct 1:53pm PDT by 
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
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Will an Oscar be handed over to Roberto Saviano?
Current forecast: 21% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 21% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Informants claim that the Camorra crime syndicate is planning to kill journalist Roberto Saviano by December. The prosecutor said the reported threat involved an attack along a highway, which also would target Saviano's police escort.
Saviano has been under police protection since 2006 when his book "Gomorra," denouncing the Camorra's hold on everything from garment industry to drug running to waste disposal, became a best-seller in Italy. The book was the basis for a film of the same name, which won second place at the Cannes Film Festival this spring and is Italy's hope for best foreign-language film at next year's Academy Awards.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/film/2008/oct/13/gomorrah-mafia-italy-arrests
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article4943223.ece
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5ijbvoK2QbCMvNn6TmzgtedqoCM7AD93QC2S00
http://www.reuters.com/article/oddlyEnoughNews/idUSTRE49D6D220081014
Question creators note: Personally, I am confident that the Mafia will not be able to carry out their disgusting plans. The courage of the author is outstanding and admirable. These personal assets should - and I strongly hope they will - be rewarded, and Saviano will be able to accept that little statue in person (which would settle this question "yes").
Saviano has been under police protection since 2006 when his book "Gomorra," denouncing the Camorra's hold on everything from garment industry to drug running to waste disposal, became a best-seller in Italy. The book was the basis for a film of the same name, which won second place at the Cannes Film Festival this spring and is Italy's hope for best foreign-language film at next year's Academy Awards.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/film/2008/oct/13/gomorrah-mafia-italy-arrests
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article4943223.ece
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5ijbvoK2QbCMvNn6TmzgtedqoCM7AD93QC2S00
http://www.reuters.com/article/oddlyEnoughNews/idUSTRE49D6D220081014
Question creators note: Personally, I am confident that the Mafia will not be able to carry out their disgusting plans. The courage of the author is outstanding and admirable. These personal assets should - and I strongly hope they will - be rewarded, and Saviano will be able to accept that little statue in person (which would settle this question "yes").
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$15,481
Question suspends in 7 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%
Action history:
Created Tue 14th Oct 1:53pm PDT by kruijs
kruijs
Changed Description Sun 9th Nov 4:21pm PST by 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
jenniandboys: show details ... target Saviano's police escort. <.<br/> <br/> Saviano has been ... /gomorrah-mafia-italy-arrests</a> <><br/> <a href="http://www. ... /world/europe/article4943223.ece</a> <><br/> <a href="http://ap. ... .google.com/article/ALeqM5ijbvoK2QbCMvNn6TmzgtedqoCM7AD93QC2S00</a> <><br/> <a href="http://www. ... .com/article/oddlyEnoughNews/idUSTRE49D6D220081014</a> <><br/> <br/> Question creators note:
Changed Suspend date Sun 9th Nov 4:21pm PST by jenniandboys: was: "2009-02-21 23:59:00"
jenniandboys: was: "2009-02-21 23:59:00"
Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
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score: 10
score: 10
ABC News 6 days ago
Besides death threats from zealots and mobsters, writers Salman Rushdie and Roberto Saviano said Tuesday that questions about their integrity hurt the most. The two authors found common ground as they compared reactions to their work at a panel
score: 10
Washington Post 6 days ago
STOCKHOLM, Sweden -- Besides death threats from zealots and mobsters, writers Salman Rushdie and Roberto Saviano said Tuesday that questions about their integrity hurt the most. The two authors found common ground as they compared reactions to their work
score: 10
CBC 1 week ago
the crime syndicate likely profiting from a highly anticipated DVD release. The film, based on a book by Roberto Saviano, exposes the ruthless activities of the Camorra, as the Neapolitan Mafia is known. Saviano has been under 24-hour police protection
score: 10
CBC 1 week ago
the crime syndicate likely profiting from a highly anticipated movie release. The film, based on a book by Roberto Saviano, exposes the ruthless activities of the Camorra, as the Neapolitan Mafia is known. Saviano has been under 24-hour police protection
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A Neapolitan.
Roberto Saviano, the Italian writer who has been living under state protection for the past two years after penning a book about the shady business practices of the Camorra, the organized crime group that operates in his home region around Naples, was at the fair to receive an award for the movie that was based on his book, “Gomorrah.”
http://papercuts.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/17/writing-can-be-a-dangerous-business/
http://papercuts.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/17/writing-can-be-a-dangerous-business/
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