
What date will CNN finally give in and push Obama to 270 Electoral Votes or higher?
It is the suspicion of many bloggers that CNN is deliberate in their desire to not put Obama at 270+ to make the election seem closer than it is. I doubt there is such a conspiracy, but nonetheless it is odd that Virginia and Colorado have not been moved at least to "Lean Obama" and shaded light blue.
SETTLEMENT - The day that cnn.com's official electoral map scores Obama at 270 Electoral Votes or higher before midnight of the date range in question.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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On or before - Wed Oct 15th (last debate) |
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Thur Oct 16th - Mon Oct 20th |
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Tue Oct. 21st - Sat Oct 25th |
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Sun Oct 26th - Thur Oct 30th |
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Fri Oct 31st - Mon Nov 3rd |
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Will not put Obama at 270 before Election Day |
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Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 6pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 2:58pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 15th Oct 1:40pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: On or before - Wed Oct 15th (last debate): 5%, Thur Oct 16th - Mon Oct 20th: 30%, Tue Oct. 21st - Sat Oct 25th: 25%, Sun Oct 26th - Thur Oct 30th: 25%, Fri Oct 31st - Mon Nov 3rd: 10%, Will not put Obama at 270 before Election Day: 5%
Action history:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/15/electoral-map-update-a-red-state-swings-toward-obama/ (market suspended)
Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 6pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 2:58pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 15th Oct 1:40pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (41)
41 predictions
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