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Will Lewis Hamilton become world champion in China?

Settled as No

No

http://www.formula1.com/news/headlines/2008/10/8565.html

Background:

If Hamilton will be the next Formula 1 world champion he will be the youngest one ever.
It is not impossible that he achieves this yet this weekend in China.
What is needed it's a 6 point lead ahead of his main rival Felipe Massa and not losing more than 1 (actually 2) point from Robert Kubica. Examples: Hamilton is first and Massa 5th or below; or Hamilton is 3rd and Massa outside of the points with Kubica behind Hamilton.
This is not impossible. Massa can perform bad, or make a mistake, or being hit from another driver; he may crash or have engine failure and other technical problems. Or a tyre puncture. Many things can happen (and they happened enough frequently in the near past).
Finally, Hamilton may have a great drive and race with Massa and Kubica doing not so well.
Will any of this happen?
Driver standings before the Chinese race:
01 Lewis Hamilton 84
02 Felipe Massa 79
03 Robert Kubica 72


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
26%
No
74%
Activity: H$16,453
Settled as No on Sun 19th Oct 2008 10am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 18th Oct 2008 11pm PDT Settlement date: Sun 19th Oct 2008 10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 18th Oct 2008 11pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 15th Oct 2008 2:53am PDT by orlin
Changed Suspend date Wed 15th Oct 2008 11:53am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: was: "2008-10-18 23:00:00"
Suspended Sat 18th Oct 2008 11pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 19th Oct 2008 9:46am PDT by orlin: No

http://www.formula1.com/news/headlines/2008/10/8565.html
Settled as 'No' Sun 19th Oct 2008 10am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: No

http://www.formula1.com/news/headlines/2008/10/8565.html

Suspend date: Sat 18th Oct 2008 11pm PDT Settlement date: Sun 19th Oct 2008 10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 18th Oct 2008 11pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

11 weeks ago
bobthingy predicted Yes (H$50 at 26%)
11 weeks ago
bobsaget predicted Yes (H$100 at 25%)
11 weeks ago
ashton71 predicted No (H$50 at 75%)
11 weeks ago
steez predicted Yes (H$20 at 25%)
11 weeks ago
youbet predicted No (H$100 at 75%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 curios
hey dragon he looks like a younger Obama lol
posted 11 weeks ago

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