Created Wed 15th Oct 2008 6:15am PDT by 
ianochaye
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Who will win the UK by-election in Glenrothes, Scotland on November 6th?
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Background:
The 2008 Glenrothes by-election will be held in the United Kingdom Parliament's House of Commons constituency of Glenrothes in Fife, Scotland. This constituency adjoins that of Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
The seat fell vacant after the death of previous member, John MacDougall (Labour), who died of mesothelioma, on 13 August 2008, aged 60. The by-election is set for 6 November 2008.
The result in the General Election of 2005 was:
Labour John MacDougall 19,395 51.9%
Scottish National Party John Beare 8,731 23.4%
Liberal Democrats Elizabeth Riches 4,728 12.7%
Conservative Belinda Don 2,651 7.1%
Others (3) 1,861 4.9%
The turnout was 56% of the registered electors
Since then (25 July 2008) the SNP have of course overturned a very large Labour majority in the Glasgow East consituency, turning the Labour majority of 13,507 into and SNP one of 365 votes.
Also since then, Scotland has been shocked by the effect of the economic crisis on Scotland's two major banks - Bank of Scotland and Royal Bank of Scotland. These events have caused questions to be asked by some parties regarding the appropriateness of Scottish Independence.
Which Party will win this latest by-election?
The seat fell vacant after the death of previous member, John MacDougall (Labour), who died of mesothelioma, on 13 August 2008, aged 60. The by-election is set for 6 November 2008.
The result in the General Election of 2005 was:
Labour John MacDougall 19,395 51.9%
Scottish National Party John Beare 8,731 23.4%
Liberal Democrats Elizabeth Riches 4,728 12.7%
Conservative Belinda Don 2,651 7.1%
Others (3) 1,861 4.9%
The turnout was 56% of the registered electors
Since then (25 July 2008) the SNP have of course overturned a very large Labour majority in the Glasgow East consituency, turning the Labour majority of 13,507 into and SNP one of 365 votes.
Also since then, Scotland has been shocked by the effect of the economic crisis on Scotland's two major banks - Bank of Scotland and Royal Bank of Scotland. These events have caused questions to be asked by some parties regarding the appropriateness of Scottish Independence.
Which Party will win this latest by-election?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Voided
| Conservative |
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| Labour |
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| Liberal Democrat |
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| SNP |
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| Scottish Socialist |
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| Solidarity |
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| UK Independence |
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Voided Wed 15th Oct 2008 2:52pm PDT
Suspend date: Thu 6th Nov 2008 9am PST
Initial likelihoods: Conservative: 5%, Labour: 40%, Liberal Democrat: 10%, SNP: 40%, Scottish Socialist: 2%, Solidarity: 1%, UK Independence: 2%
Action history:
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destry
: Market voided. Dubplicate
Suspend date: Thu 6th Nov 2008 9am PST
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jhouseholder
predicted Labour (H$10 at 40%)Comments (1)
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score: 10
Telegraph 12 weeks ago
The Prime Minister's letter, sent yesterday, says that he plans to break prime ministerial convention and visit the Glenrothes constituency, which neighbours his own seat of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath. Despite Labour protecting a majority of 10,664, the
score: 10
The Independent 12 weeks ago
Whoever designed the little Scottish town of Glenrothes believed in roundabouts. Glenrothes has no traffic lights, other than at a few pedestrian crossings. Wherever two busy roads meet, cars go round in circles. Gordon Brown's political career has
score: 10
Telegraph 13 weeks ago
Scottish Labour Leader, Jim Murphy and Lindsay Roy, the Scottish Labour candidate kick off the campaign for the Glenrothes by-election Photo: ALAN MILLIGAN Despite Labour protecting a majority of 10,664, the Scottish National Party is expected to emerge
score: 10
BBC 13 weeks ago
keen' to join Labour's by-election campaign in Glenrothes, new Scottish Secretary Jim Murphy has told the BBC. The SNP hopes to repeat its Glasgow East success and take the seat from Labour on 6 November. Mr Murphy said he had discussed the idea of the
score: 10
Stv.tv 13 weeks ago
will be confirmed in the constituency later in the day. Mr Murphy, the MP for East Renfrewshire, said SNP plans for a local income tax will be the dominant local issue. Speaking to the BBC, he said having the Prime Minister campaigning for Labour would
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