Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
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How long will the new Harper government last?

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
less than six months.
0%
more than six months but less than a year.
2%
more than a year but less than two years.
27%
more than two years.
70%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: less than six months.: 15%, more than six months but less than a year.: 15%, more than a year but less than two years.: 30%, more than two years.: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 15th Oct 2008 7:31am PST by storekeeperathscm

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (83)

6 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted more than two years. (H$600 at 75%)
6 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted more than two years. (H$1,000 at 71%)
6 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted more than two years. (H$3,333 at 53%)
9 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted more than a year but less than two years. (H$500 at 60%)
9 weeks ago
storekeeperathscm predicted more than six months but less than a year. (H$100 at 5%)

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