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Will a new state cold temperature record be set this winter?
Current forecast: 26% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 26% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
In recent days cold records have been broken in Idaho, California and Oregon. This market is looking to forecast whether any of the US 50 states will record a lowest *all time* record this winter; defined as November 21st, 2008 through February 20th, 2009? The last three records set were:
Iowa - Feb 3rd, 1996, 47 degrees below F.
Wisconsin - Feb 2nd, 1996, 55 degrees below F.
Illinois - Jan 5th, 1999, 36 degrees below F.
Please see chart @ http://www.usatoday.com/weather/wcstates.htm
Iowa - Feb 3rd, 1996, 47 degrees below F.
Wisconsin - Feb 2nd, 1996, 55 degrees below F.
Illinois - Jan 5th, 1999, 36 degrees below F.
Please see chart @ http://www.usatoday.com/weather/wcstates.htm
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
|
Activity: H$6,444
Question suspends in 6 weeks
Suspend date: Thu 19th Feb 3:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%
Action history:
Changed Question text Fri 17th Oct 2008 3:47am PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: ... Will a new a new state cold temperature
ryanj: ... Will
Suspend date: Thu 19th Feb 3:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (42)
42 predictions
mrperfkt
predicted Yes (H$500 at 25%)
lcsnor
cmueller
predicted No (H$20 at 77%)
jakethesnake
predicted No (H$100 at 77%)
jolleyjoetolley
predicted Yes (H$50 at 23%)
predicted Yes (H$50 at 24%)
oppugner
predicted Yes (H$20 at 23%)
notablenotices
predicted Yes (H$5 at 24%)
onedave
infernalmachine
predicted Yes (H$144 at 24%)Comments (0)
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