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Will the quality of London's NHS trusts continue to decline in the coming year?

Current forecast: 67% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 67% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

London's hospitals are among the greatest in the world, attracting patients from around the country and across the globe. Yet London's health service is getting worse while the NHS in the rest of the country is rapidly improving.

The annual NHS performance ratings, published today, show the capital, which historically has had the lion's share of NHS resources, is the only area of the country where the quality of services declined in 2007-08. Fewer than half its NHS trusts (48 per cent) scored "excellent" or "good", compared to 55 per cent in 2006-07.

Will the number of London NHS trusts rated 'excellent' or 'good' be less than 48 per cent for the next evaluation period, April 08 to March 09?

For the full The Independent article click here.

For the full data released by the Healthcare Commission, click here.


Settlement details: As reported by the healthcare commission <a href="http://www.healthcarecommission.org.uk">http://www.healthcarecommission.org.uk<;/a>. Suspend date can be moved according to the date of release of the next annual report.

 
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Yes
67%
No
33%
Activity: H$150
Question suspends in 40 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 16th Oct 4:59pm PDT (40 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 67%

Action history:

Suspend date: Fri 16th Oct 4:59pm PDT (40 weeks to go)
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Predictions (2)

2 predictions

5 weeks ago
hels predicted Yes (H$50 at 67%)
12 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 33%)

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