
Will unemployment in the UK hit 2 million by the end of the year?
Suspend date reached
Background:>
Amid warnings that unemployment could reach three million, the Prime Minister, speaking at an EU summit on the financial crisis, promised that the Government would do all it could to protect jobs. He pointed out that, despite the 10 per cent increase, unemployment was higher in America, Germany, France and Italy than in Britain.
The 1.79 million total out of work is the highest since 1999 and compounded the economic gloom on a day that the FTSE 100 Index's two-day revival came to a halt as it slumped by 7.2 per cent amid renewed recession fears.
Unemployment is now on course to hit two million by the end of the year and an economist, Vicky Redwood, of Capital Economics, forecast that unemployment could hit three million by the end of 2010.
For the full The Independent article click here.
Settlement will be based on the first report in 2009 that gives the complete figures for 2008.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. The unemployment measure will be the numbers unemployed and actively seeking work according to the Labour Force Survey, which is the government's preferred measure of unemployment (the preferred measure of unemployment before 1997 was the claimant count, which is significantly lower). This will be determined by the first report in 2009 that gives the complete figures for 2008.
Suspended
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 80%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
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Predictions (88)
88 predictions
Comments (12)
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