Who will win the National Book Award for Fiction?
Settled as Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country
The National Book Awards are among the most eminent literary prizes in the United States. Started in 1950, the awards are presented annually to American authors for literature published in the prior year, as well as lifetime achievement awards including the "Medal of Distinguished Contribution to American Letters" and the "Literarian Award". The purpose of the awards is "to raise the cultural appreciation of great writing in America." In 1988 the National Book Foundation was established which now oversees and manages the National Book Awards.
Source
This years nominees include a lot of depressing stories of tragedy and despair. Read more about the nominees
here.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Who will win the National Book Award for Fiction?
Aleksander Hemon's The Lazarus Project
Rachel Kushner's Telex From Cuba
Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country
Marilynne Robinson's Home
Salvatore Scibona's The End
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Settled
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Aleksander Hemon's The Lazarus Project |
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Rachel Kushner's Telex From Cuba |
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Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country |
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Marilynne Robinson's Home |
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Salvatore Scibona's The End |
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Activity: H$4,687
Settled as
Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country on Wed 19th Nov 2008 7:31pm PST
Suspend date: Wed 19th Nov 2008 8:59am PST Settlement date: Wed 19th Nov 2008 7:31pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 19th Nov 2008 8:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Aleksander Hemon's The Lazarus Project: 20%, Rachel Kushner's Telex From Cuba: 20%, Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country: 20%, Marilynne Robinson's Home: 20%, Salvatore Scibona's The End: 20%
Action history:
Changed Suspend date Wed 15th Oct 2008 5:50pm PDT by
jenniandboys![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
was: "2008-11-19 00:59:00"
Changed Question text Wed 15th Oct 2008 5:50pm PDT by
jenniandboys![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
... win the National Book Award for Fiction?
Suspended Wed 19th Nov 2008 8:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Wed 19th Nov 2008 8:59am PST Settlement date: Wed 19th Nov 2008 7:31pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 19th Nov 2008 8:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (49)
49 predictions
7 weeks ago
hoernla
predicted
Salvatore Scibona's The End (H$20 at 13%)
7 weeks ago
hubdubbob
predicted
Salvatore Scibona's The End (H$104 at 13%)
7 weeks ago
gtown
predicted
Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country (H$20 at 45%)
10 weeks ago
orchidnyc
predicted
Salvatore Scibona's The End (H$50 at 14%)
10 weeks ago
davew
predicted
Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country (H$2 at 33%)
more7 weeks ago
hoernla
predicted
Salvatore Scibona's The End (H$20 at 13%)
7 weeks ago
hubdubbob
predicted
Salvatore Scibona's The End (H$104 at 13%)
7 weeks ago
gtown
predicted
Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country (H$20 at 45%)
10 weeks ago
orchidnyc
predicted
Salvatore Scibona's The End (H$50 at 14%)
10 weeks ago
davew
predicted
Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country (H$2 at 33%)
11 weeks ago
geoff
predicted
Aleksander Hemon's The Lazarus Project (H$20 at 18%)
11 weeks ago
cici
predicted
Aleksander Hemon's The Lazarus Project (H$50 at 16%)
11 weeks ago
opie
predicted
Rachel Kushner's Telex From Cuba (H$20 at 17%)
11 weeks ago
cognos![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

predicted
Rachel Kushner's Telex From Cuba (H$100 at 15%)
11 weeks ago
monkey_man_444
predicted
Peter Matthiessen's Shadow Country (H$50 at 35%)
11 weeks ago
infernalmachine![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

predicted
Aleksander Hemon's The Lazarus Project (H$100 at 16%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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