Created Wed 15th Oct 2008 5:31pm PST by

hect0r Level 11, Legend (H$18,579)

Who will win the 2009 Iranian presidential election?

Settled as Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Surprise, surprise. He may not have actually won the majority of votes, but the official line is that he did...

Background:

Background: Presidential elections will be held in Iran on 12 June 2009. Incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will seek re-election. On 25 February 2008, Mohammad Khatami, a potential candidate, said that if Mehdi Karroubi registers as a candidate, he would not participate as a candidate in the election.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_presidential_election,_2009#cite_note-1//en.wikipedia.org

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohammad_Khatami
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mehdi_Karroubi

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

98%

Mohammad Khatami

Mehdi Karroubi

Someone else

Settled as Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Sat 13th Jun 11:40am PST

Activity: H$117,397
Predictions: 146
Comments: 5

Suspend date: Thu 11th Jun 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 13th Jun 11:40am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 11th Jun 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad: 40%, Mohammad Khatami: 31%, Mehdi Karroubi: 20%, Someone else: 9%

Action history:

Created Wed 15th Oct 2008 5:31pm PST by

hect0r Level 11, Legend (H$18,579)

Suspended Thu 11th Jun 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 13th Jun 8:43am PST by

gtown

: See:
http://www.hubdub.com/m43938/__Will__Mahmoud_Ahmadinejad_the_Iranian_president_win_the_June_12_election

Settlement requested Sat 13th Jun 11:23am PST by

smoothtoast Level 9, Expert (H$8,454)

: Because there is a winner

Settled as 'Mahmoud Ahmadinejad' Sat 13th Jun 11:40am PST by

sqlman [Admin]

: Surprise, surprise. He may not have actually won the majority of votes, but the official line is that he did...

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Predictions (146)

23 weeks ago

tipsypaca Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,858)

predicted Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (H$100 at 98%)

23 weeks ago

undercontrol Level 10, Genius (H$10,373)

predicted Mohammad Khatami (H$20 at 0%)

23 weeks ago

curios predicted Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (H$8,000 at 95%)

23 weeks ago

manurnair Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,398)

predicted Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (H$50 at 90%)

23 weeks ago

delawarebratboi Level 13, Psychic (H$76,565)

predicted Someone else (H$100 at 23%)

Comments (5)

randburg Level 19, Uberdubber (H$4,995,682)

Now that Khatami is out of the running, Karroubi is going to present a formidable challenge to the current president! Is Iran ready for a reformist ticket at this time?

posted 30 weeks ago

randburg Level 19, Uberdubber (H$4,995,682)

"Reformists predict '97 repeat in Iran":

http://www.upi.com/Emerging_Threats/2009/04/10/Reformists-predict-97-repeat-in-Iran/UPI-21651239395407/

posted 30 weeks ago

frank2877 Level 11, Legend (H$22,619)

How can anyone take an Iranian election seriously? "The Constitution provided the Council of Guardians the power to screen and disqualify candidates for elective offices based on an ill-defined set of requirements, including candidates' ideological beliefs. It accepts only candidates who support a theocratic state. Clerics who disagree with government policies also have been disqualified." If you don't agree with them you can't run for office.

posted 26 weeks ago

randburg Level 19, Uberdubber (H$4,995,682)

Ah, frank! The essence of a dictatorship and why dictators tend to get re-elected...somehow...

posted 23 weeks ago

randburg Level 19, Uberdubber (H$4,995,682)

Of course, I could end up eating those words...LOL...

posted 23 weeks ago

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