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How many copies of Britney Spears new album, "Circus", sell in the first week of release?

Settled as 400,000 to less than 600,000

Her Circus album will debut at #1 on next week's Billboard albums chart, selling just under 505,100 copies. It's Spears' fifth album to debut at #1 on the chart, and it sold nearly twice as many copies as last year's Blackout album, which was denied the top spot on the chart by the Eagles' Long Road Out of Eden.

Background:

Britney Spears sixth studio album titled "Circus" is set for release on December 2, 2008 - in accordance with her 27th birthday.

The first single released from the upcoming album, "Womanizer", jumped to No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100. This marked Spears's first number one single on the Hot 100 since her debut "...Baby One More Time" which was nearly 10 years ago.

Previous Albums sales in first week:
Blackout - 290,000 copies in its first week
In the Zone - 609,000 copies in its first week
Britney - 746,000 copies in its first week
Oops!... I Did It Again - 1.3 million copies in the first week
...Baby One More Time - 120,500 copies sold in its first week.

She's back and better than ever...so it seems.
How many copies of her new album will fly off the shelves in the first week?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Less then 200,00
5%
200,000 to less than 400,000
29%
400,000 to less than 600,000
23%
600,000 to less than 800,000
17%
800,000 to less than 1million
11%
1million to less than 1.2 million
8%
1.2 million to less than 1.4 million
4%
1.4 million or more
2%
Activity: H$4,556
Settled as 400,000 to less than 600,000 on Wed 10th Dec 2008 4:30pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Dec 2008 7:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 10th Dec 2008 4:30pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 2nd Dec 2008 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less then 200,00: 5%, 200,000 to less than 400,000: 10%, 400,000 to less than 600,000: 15%, 600,000 to less than 800,000: 20%, 800,000 to less than 1million: 20%, 1million to less than 1.2 million: 15%, 1.2 million to less than 1.4 million: 10%, 1.4 million or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 15th Oct 2008 10:51pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]
Suspended Tue 2nd Dec 2008 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 10th Dec 2008 3:34pm PST by johnoday: "As expected, Britney Spears' "Circus" makes a big bow at the top of The Billboard 200, becoming her fifth No. 1. The Jive set moved 505,000 copies in the United States, making Spears the only act in Nielsen SoundScan history to have four albums debut with 500,000 or more."

http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/news/britney-s-circus-debuts-atop-album-chart-1003921402.story
Settled as '400,000 to less than 600,000' Wed 10th Dec 2008 4:30pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Her Circus album will debut at #1 on next week's Billboard albums chart, selling just under 505,100 copies. It's Spears' fifth album to debut at #1 on the chart, and it sold nearly twice as many copies as last year's Blackout album, which was denied the top spot on the chart by the Eagles' Long Road Out of Eden.

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Dec 2008 7:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 10th Dec 2008 4:30pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 2nd Dec 2008 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

5 weeks ago
laffertysclass predicted 200,000 to less than 400,000 (H$100 at 29%)
5 weeks ago
gazelle predicted 400,000 to less than 600,000 (H$100 at 23%)
5 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted 200,000 to less than 400,000 (H$20 at 28%)
5 weeks ago
janegutierez predicted 1million to less than 1.2 million (H$100 at 8%)
5 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted 400,000 to less than 600,000 (H$20 at 23%)
more

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