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When will Chicago's "Creepy Clown" be found?

Settled as After Dec. 31th or never

No reports indicate the clown's been found

Background:

Parents on Chicago's South Side are on edge after reports that a man dressed as a clown has tried to lure several children into his van.

The creepy clown, who has been spotted four times in the past week on the city's West and South sides, wears a wig and full face paint and carries balloons when he approaches children, MyFOXChicago.com reported.

In each case, he tries to coax kids into his vehicle, described in most cases as a white, four-door van with broken rear windows and in another instance as a brown pickup truck.

Area schools are on alert and some have sent home letters to parents telling them to warn their children not to talk to strangers.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
This person must be found or identified by police.An arrest doesn't have to be made.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Before Oct. 31
2%
Oct. 31 - Nov. 29th
1%
Nov.30th - Dec. 31
1%
After Dec. 31th or never
97%
Activity: H$18,493
Settled as After Dec. 31th or never on Thu 1st Jan 3:57pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 3:57pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Before Oct. 31: 50%, Oct. 31 - Nov. 29th: 25%, Nov.30th - Dec. 31: 13%, After Dec. 31th or never: 12%

Action history:

Created Thu 16th Oct 2008 6:16am PDT by jhouseholder
Suspended Fri 17th Oct 2008 3:06am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Editing market options to make the market clearer
Unsuspended Fri 17th Oct 2008 3:12am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Not really a clarification but just a note that I've edited the market options to make them easier to understand. In its previous form it did not allow for the clown being found on Dec. 31st but now does. This change does not effect anyone's wagers.
Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 8:40am PST by elly: This question has to be suspend and settle, pls.
Settled as 'After Dec. 31th or never' Thu 1st Jan 3:57pm PST by ryanj[Admin]: No reports indicate the clown's been found

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 3:57pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

1 week ago
hfl13 predicted After Dec. 31th or never (H$15 at 97%)
1 week ago
paulcroft predicted After Dec. 31th or never (H$140 at 97%)
2 weeks ago
awills predicted After Dec. 31th or never (H$100 at 74%)
2 weeks ago
awills predicted Nov.30th - Dec. 31 (H$20 at 6%)
2 weeks ago
firechild predicted After Dec. 31th or never (H$100 at 74%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 paulcroft
c'mon someone HAS to attach a pic to this one!!!!! Creepy Clown pics are a dime a dozen on the net! ;)
posted 12 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
there you go, paul

- and have a close look, it's worth it ;)
posted 11 weeks ago
  3 tisha[Admin]
ahh! that's **creepy**
posted 11 weeks ago
ITS MICHAEL JACKSON!
posted 11 weeks ago
  5 ryanj[Admin]
Hi,

Not really a clarification but just a note that I've edited the market options to make them easier to understand. In its previous form it did not allow for the clown being found on Dec. 31st but now does. This change does not effect anyone's wagers.

Regards,
Ryan
posted 11 weeks ago
  6 paulcroft
LOL nice pic!
posted 11 weeks ago
what if is an urban legend?
posted 11 weeks ago
This may take a while - it would appear there are not so many cops on duty in Chicago at the moment:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/I/IL_POLICE_INJURED_ILOL-?SITE=MOSTP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
CHICAGO (AP) -- Chicago Police say six officers were injured when their patrol cars crashed into each other on the way to a call.
posted 7 weeks ago
Idiots. Thats a waste of tax dollars right there.
posted 7 weeks ago

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