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How many states will face federal charges for suppressing votes in the 2008 US election?

Settled as 0 states

Vote suppression is a government-perpetrated crime, unlike voter fraud, which is perpetrated by individuals or non-government organizations. Following the 2000 presidential election, federal charges were heard that thousands of black and lower-income voters were illegally denied their right to vote. In an Oct. 9 article, the New York Times describes 9 different states (including six "swing states") where voters were removed from voting rolls and/or prevented from registering in 2008.

How many states will face federal charges before the end of this year for having suppressed votes by these or other means in the 2008 election?

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/09/us/politics/09voting.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

0 states
97%
1-4 states
1%
5-9 states
1%
10 or more states
0%
Activity: H$23,418
Settled as 0 states on Thu 1st Jan 8:49am PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 8:49am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0 states: 50%, 1-4 states: 25%, 5-9 states: 20%, 10 or more states: 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 16th Oct 2008 4:16pm PDT by capecodviking
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as '0 states' Thu 1st Jan 8:49am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 8:49am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (35)

35 predictions

1 week ago
genestealeruk predicted 0 states (H$130 at 88%)
1 week ago
vidal1 predicted 1-4 states (H$100 at 17%)
4 weeks ago
drzinternet predicted 0 states (H$100 at 60%)
5 weeks ago
drzinternet predicted 0 states (H$500 at 58%)
5 weeks ago
guruzilla predicted 0 states (H$20 at 56%)
more

Comments (2)

FBI investigating vote-suppression charges in Virginia from this election: http://www.salon.com/politics/war_room/2006/11/07/virginia/
posted 8 weeks ago

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