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Who will win the 2008 Washington Governor race?

Settled as Christine Gregoire (D)

In a rematch of the ultra-competitive 2004 election, democrat Gov. Christine Gregoire comes this year with the advantage of incumbency, as well as the fact that a Republican has not been elected governor here since 1980.

Republican Dino Rossi lost by only 129 votes in '04, and has four years of the Gregoire administration record to attack. Rossi also has strong fundraising abilities -- enough to keep up with Gregoire.

This year’s race has been anything but steady. Last month, Rossi pulled ahead of the governor, 52% to 46%, after trailing behind by four percentage points in August. Gregoire managed to hold solid leads in May, June, and July, after a virtually tied race through March and February. This year’s election is reminiscent of the exciting match up between the two candidates in 2004 that ended with a controversial win for Gregoire that had to be decided by the state’s courts.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_governor_elections/washington/election_2008_washington_governor
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/governor/wa/washington_governor-584.html

Gov. Christine Gregoire Campaign Website:
http://www.chrisgregoire.com/

Dino Rossi Campaign Website:
http://www.dinorossi.com/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Dino Rossi (R)
35%
Christine Gregoire (D)
64%
Any other candidate
1%
Activity: H$1,089
Settled as Christine Gregoire (D) on Wed 5th Nov 2008 10:25am PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 7:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 2008 10:25am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 2008 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Dino Rossi (R): 39%, Christine Gregoire (D): 60%, Any other candidate: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 16th Oct 2008 11:21pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 2008 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 2008 8:30am PST by rbrog77: Christine Gregoire (D) won 54-46 according to MSNBC
Settled as 'Christine Gregoire (D)' Wed 5th Nov 2008 10:25am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 7:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 2008 10:25am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 2008 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (10)

10 predictions

9 weeks ago
raidersin09 predicted Christine Gregoire (D) (H$100 at 64%)
9 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted Dino Rossi (R) (H$50 at 36%)
9 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted Christine Gregoire (D) (H$369 at 62%)
9 weeks ago
fourgrays predicted Dino Rossi (R) (H$20 at 38%)
9 weeks ago
broncogregg predicted Dino Rossi (R) (H$50 at 38%)
more

Comments (1)

Last election it was widely felt that Gregoire and/or her cronies were able to steal the election, a la 'Bush/2000/Florida'. Hoping she will fall this time, but cynically betting she'll survive for another term. Those Washington state Dems can be pretty nasty and tenacious.
posted 9 weeks ago

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