
Willl Warren Buffett be the next Secretary of the Treasury?
Timothy Geithner nominated officially by President Elect Obama. This market can be resettled if an unforeseen problem arise during confirmation process.
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
| Yes |
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| No |
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Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 3:05pm PST (1 week to go) Settlement date: Mon 24th Nov 2008 12:04pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 34%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 3:05pm PST (1 week to go) Settlement date: Mon 24th Nov 2008 12:04pm PST
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Predictions (116)
116 predictions
Comments (55)
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New in Politics » US Election 2008




I wish i could flag this.... but i'll leave it to someone else... no indication he even wants to, or that someone would want him too... PS: he would have to surrender a lot of potential wealth to serve.... NO WAY!!!
It's common knowledge that they have both expressed interest in Buffet. I find it interesting how harshly you criticize the starting odds when it is obvious you are not informed. If you want to find info on the subject try www.google.com.
<<<PS: he would have to surrender a lot of potential wealth to serve.... NO WAY!!!>>>
Warren already has given, or plans to give away ALL of his wealth.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warren_Buffett#Philanthropy
If you didn't understand so far, maybe this will help:
"Economists like to reference Robinson Carusoe’s (sic!) island, Caruso and Friday are on the island. Caruso fishes and Friday picks bananas. They work out an exchange. But put some more people on the island and you need money to have an easy exchange between fish, bananas, and coconuts. So one day a “Federal Reserve Banker” comes along and prints some paper “dollars”. The marketplace finds the right price for fish in terms of bananas, coconuts, or “dollars”. Now suppose our Federal Reserve Banker prints double the dollars. Just lots more “dollars”. Twice as many in fact. Now just printing more “dollars” doesn’t do anything to increase the wealth of the islanders. There are not twice the fish, bananas, or coconuts. Rather quickly the market price will double the price of fish, bananas, and coconuts. Increasing the money supply doesn’t make everyone rich. It just increases prices. Why do it? Because the printer are unjustly enriched. He gets to spend those dollars before the prices adapt. Money that has nothing backing it of value (i.e., gold; silver; or even tiki lamps) is just paper. Worthless the minute that the fraud is discovered.
(...)
So, sooner or later, the Arabs will get tired of getting pictures of dead presidents for oil. Ditto the Japanese for Toyotas. And the Chinese for plastics.
One needs to NOT hold paper money! But what should one “hold”. Things that appreciate in value (i.e., collectables). Real estate. Things that earn value (i.e., stocks that are recession / depression proof). Commodities. And precious metals. Debt in a recession is bad."
http://reinkefaceslife.com/2006/12/29/money-printing-press-money-impoverishes-us-all/
And you should really read this
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monetary_policy
As I stated on the other buffet predictor, Mr Buffet had made trillions, is worth billions, this man in all that he has accomplished (he has been making money since he was 7 years old, filled out his first tax return at age 12) this man who can make money blindfolded has one thing that he has not been able to accomplish. his name has never appeared on a single dollar he has made. As Secty of Treasury Mr Buffet's name will appear on every dollar printed. That alone will get him to say yes.
What can he do?
Stock trade? he is much more than a stock trader. Read todays (10.20.08) Ny TimesOPED piece; Warren can turn the economy around....and Warren is known for his ethics!! his honesty!! Something we need in washington.
http://topics.nytimes.com/top/opinion/editorialsandoped/oped/columnists/paulkrugman/index.html
He's been very astute about the whole Bush Economic disaster thing.
Go ahead, you can blame them, too.
51-49 is *barely* a majority...but it's a start :p
And, like jenni asked you before, if the President isn't that important, why do you care who's elected?
I think the president is important somewhat. He plays a important role in diplomacy and a symbol of the american people, not to mention it really helps to have a president who can unify across the aisle. I just dont think Hussien has the ability to do that.
Why do polls show more confidence in him as in the other candidate? Maybe he might not be able to "unify" those who are afraid of a black man.
To narrow this "somewhat importance" of the US president on the current case:
Bush's cabinet has included figures that were prominent in past administrations, notably former Secretary of State Colin Powell who had served as United States National Security Advisor under Ronald Reagan. Former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld had served as White House Chief of Staff and Secretary of Defense under Gerald Ford; Rumsfeld's successor, Robert Gates, served as Director of Central Intelligence under George H.W. Bush. Vice President Dick Cheney served as Secretary of Defense under George H. W. Bush.
Bush places a high value on personal loyalty and, as a result, his administration has high message discipline. He maintains a "hands-off" style of management that he believes prevents him from being tangled by intricacies that hinder sound decision-making. "I'm confident in my management style. I'm a delegator because I trust the people I've asked to join the team. I'm willing to delegate. That makes it easier to be President," he said in an interview with Diane Sawyer on ABC in December of 2003. Critics allege, however, that Bush is willing to overlook mistakes[10] made by loyal subordinates. There has been only one non-Republican present in Bush's cabinet: Secretary of Transportation Norman Mineta, the first Asian American cabinet secretary, who had previously served as Secretary of Commerce under Bill Clinton, is a Democrat. Mineta resigned from Bush's cabinet on July 7, 2006 to pursue "other challenges".[11] Mary Peters, a Republican, was nominated and confirmed to succeed him as Transportation Secretary.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_W._Bush_administration#Administration_and_Cabinet
So one of his somewhat importance is to build and arrange the government. OK, that might be not so important when you look at those who are connected to him and take affect on the decisions (and orientation of these) he draws.
As far as Congress went...well, it took a few indictments to ease the death-grip control that the Bush "administration" had on 'em.
"DeLay's iron-fist ruling style was said to be an integral part of the GOP's successes. Unprecedented party loyalty, powerful connections to big business and lobbyists on K Street, fundraising prowess and backing from the White House and Senate leadership reinforced the perception that DeLay and his cronies were untouchable. Lawmakers who didn't vote with the leadership were thrown off committees. Those who didn't meet annual fundraising requirements were blocked from ascending the party ladder. Lobbyists who didn't identify as Republicans were told to take their business elsewhere. The arrogance of power now seems to have come full circle, with DeLay and Frist as prime examples."
http://www.alternet.org/story/26153/?page=2
well, since more people will elect him as people will elect McCain (as polls predict), I think this means that more people trust him becomming a "good" president than people trust McCain becomming a "good" president (good as subjective as there are hopes people associate with a new president). so, again, if more people trust him than McCain, why shouldn't he be able to "unify" at least as good as McCain?
Even Bush - who has been controversial since the start - was able to create a very strong "unity" amongst all Americans (liberals, republicans, rich, poor, black, white, just name it). Nobody was criticizing, all stood patriotically, nobody dared to ask.
All he had to do was start a war (or two).
Barack Obama actually did change parties from the communist "New Party" to Democrat. He has never been middle of the road on anything. He won his first seat using the illegal process of "electoral fusion" which was soundly reprimanded in the courts.
as long as you are either democrat or republican, you can never be "middle of the read" - you are either too liberal or too conservative (just depending on democratic or republican point of view)
I don't know much about US electoral processes. but if it has been illegal, shouldn't it have been retracted?
But this guy wants to be President - he will have to take the oath of office to "preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States" to the best of his ability. He is clearly not in a position to do that, when he would have the most radical position on abortion, including infantacide, in the history of presidential canidates, he has a decidedly anti-second ammendment stance, ties to terrorists, the comunist party, and ACORN!
Here is someone who wont even release his birth certificate - he can't be trusted to govern with any transparency.
I do agree that "middle of the road" is not a good thing, but I was just commenting on curios remark about getting across the isle :-)
Although I'm not here to defend Barack Obama for anything, I just want to take position whenever I do not agree with statements people make.
1) notable: "the most radical position on abortion, including infantacide"
Obama: "On an issue like partial birth abortion, I strongly believe that the state can properly restrict late-term abortions. I have said so repeatedly. All I've said is we should have a provision to protect the health of the mother, and many of the bills that came before me didn't have that."
http://www.ontheissues.org/Social/Barack_Obama_Abortion.htm
2) notable: "a decidedly anti-second ammendment (sic!) stance"
2nd Amendment: "A well regulated militia, being necessary to the security of a free state, the right of the people to keep and bear arms, shall not be infringed."
Do the US people need to secure their own free state?! In western Europe, it's something which police can do for the people.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution
3) notable: "ties to terrorists"
"Ayers and his wife, Bernadine Dohrn, a Northwestern University professor who also was part of the Weather Underground (which embraced bombing in its effort to end the Vietnam War), spent years on the run. After Ayers surrendered in 1980, charges against him were dropped because of prosecutorial misconduct. Obama has deplored Ayers’ conduct but pointed out that it took place decades before the two met."
http://articles.latimes.com/2008/aug/22/nation/na-ad22
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0408/9730.html
4) notable: "the comunist party"
"Through Frank Marshall Davis, Obama had an admitted relationship with someone who was publicly identified as a member of the Communist Party USA (CPUSA)."
http://www.aim.org/aim-column/obamas-communist-mentor/
5) notable: "and ACORN!"
"Obama has had an intimate and long-term association with the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now (Acorn), the largest radical group in America."
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NDZiMjkwMDczZWI5ODdjOWYxZTIzZGIyNzEyMjE0ODI=
In my opinion, issues 1) and 2) are fair political points. Nothing radical in my eyes. Nothing which would disqualify someone for being president.
Points 3), 4) and 5) made me think. What if this is true? What if he is really that radical, militant communist guy as you suggestively describe him by these "facts"? Wouldn't the US be doomed with such a president? I admit that these connections existed. But is Obama automatically such a thread? Almost undoubtedly he will be influenced politically. And as such, would that be dangerous for the US? Actually, I don't think so.
What concerns me most: is that I see people stoking fears using suggestive, irrational assertions and overstatements (and pictures).
Just compare this:
http://i296.photobucket.com/albums/mm172/dtothep_bucket/136312.jpg
with this:
http://www.holocaustresearchproject.org/holoprelude/images/advirtisement%20for%20Der%20ewige%20Jude.jpg
That is why he is so popular where you live. In America, these have historically been important points in elections and public opinion.
Earning reports are not up to the minute they are usually talking aobut something that happened at least a month ago; Everything is a historical measure except the stock market. Historically the stock market is a barometer of what is going to happen within 6 months or a year. With the electronic trading and up to second abilties..that time has shortened to appx 3-4 months.
Yes we are in a DEPRESSION; we passed recession aobut 8 months ago.
Wall Street was caught with their pants down and their fingers in the till (check todays headlines about the banks we are bailing out and the compensation packages. Now also remember that as the financial sector has automated, strange things were developed that corporations thought would help stabalize their stock prices. they advertised to ma and pa kettle that if they bought 1 share of stock from a broker they could then invest at no commission in their company thru the mail..Well they did not mention that when ma and pa want to sell they need to also do it by mail which takes up to a week or so. So a lot of what you are seeing now is mom and pop selling. the sell orders have finally come thru. The wise investor who knew the value of paying htat brokers fee. Is buying like crazy..cause the market like the south will rise again.
Now to say the democrats screwed the economy since they went into the majority 10 months ago is really giving the politicians to much benefit of the doubt. One it takes a year to replace a lightbulb in a governemnt building. Nothing can be done that quickly.
What we are experiencing right now with regard to the economy is from 4 years of going into debt over a war that some yahoo declared cuz his daddy was insulted. This deficit is costing us lots and lots of money....cuz we are paying interest to someone....the yahhos friends and lots of other yahoos all pushed the price of oil up so they could make lots fo money and blame the war and a couple hurricaines when in fact it is simply a bunch of yahoo's buying oil futures that are pucshing the price up.
The people loosing money of course are ma and pop kettle; cause they think they got "insider info" when in fact theyare merely jumping on the bandwagon of the band that left town 3 weeks ago....
which do you refer to?
And 1) and 2), as I said before, are legit political positions.
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