Created Sat 18th Oct 2008 2:50pm PDT by 
pixelpaws
All questions » Politics » US Politics » pixelpaws 
Will the next US President serve his full first term in office?
Current forecast: 89% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 89% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Though we think of the President being a relatively safe job, only 34 of the 43 presidents so far have served their full terms in office. Of the nine who didn't, four were assassinated, four died of natural causes, and Richard Nixon resigned. Thus, 79% of presidents served their full terms.
Will POTUS #44 serve at least four full years?
Will POTUS #44 serve at least four full years?
Settlement details:
YES if, and only if, whoever is President on January 20, 2009 is still in office on January 19, 2013.
Make your prediction!
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
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Activity: H$14,264
Question suspends in 3 years
Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 11:59pm PST (3 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 79%
Action history:
Created Sat 18th Oct 2008 2:50pm PDT by pixelpaws
pixelpaws
Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 11:59pm PST (3 years to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (8)
8 predictions
kilroyfirelizard
predicted Yes (H$50 at 89%)
oppugner
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted Yes (H$8,771 at 87%)
predicted Yes (H$100 at 84%)
jenniandboys
predicted Yes (H$5,000 at 81%)Comments (1)
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score: 10
Mail Online UK 16 hours ago
So if Barack Obama was after any advice before assuming power later this month, today's meeting with the four surviving U.S. presidents was the perfect opportunity. The historic White House lunch
score: 10
Washington Post 17 hours ago
A real team of rivals gathered for lunch at the White House yesterday, as President Bush and three former U.S. commanders in chief put aside their political differences to offer recollections and advice to President-elect Barack Obama. This Story There
score: 10
CBS News 20 hours ago
'I want to thank the President-elect for joining the ex-president's for lunch,' President Bush welcomed former presidents Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton and his father George H. W. Bush as well as his successor Barack Obama to the Oval Office Wednesday.
score: 10
San Francisco Chronicle 22 hours ago
is usually for a milestone or somber moment a funeral of a world leader, an opening of a presidential library, a commemoration of history. Not this time. 'It's going to be an interesting lunch,' Bush told an interviewer recently. When asked what the
score: 10
Houston Chronicle 23 hours ago
is usually for a milestone or somber moment a funeral of a world leader, an opening of a presidential library, a commemoration of history. Not this time. 'It's going to be an interesting lunch,' Bush told an interviewer recently. When asked what the
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