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Will UK national debt top £100 billion by the end of this year?

Voided

Question will be resubmitted, concerns about some of the data used

Background:

After committing £50bn to rescue banks, now Government will bring spending forward to stave off recession. Gordon Brown is planning to inject billions of pounds of emergency funds into new schools and hospitals to stimulate the economy as Britain heads into recession, it emerged last night.

As the Prime Minister warned yesterday of a "defining moment" for the country, it was revealed that public spending earmarked for after the 2010 general election will be brought forward to encourage growth. Alistair Darling, the Chancellor, is drawing up plans to raid 2010-2011 Budgets and "fast-track" the money to public service building projects. But the move is another major gamble by the Government, after the £500bn bailout of the banks, because it depends on a major recovery by the time a public spending black hole emerges in 2010.

Will national debt top £100 billion pounds by the end of 2008?

Read the full The Independent article here.


Settlement details: As reported by the Office for National Statistics? <a href="http://www.statistics.gov.uk/instantfigures.asp">http://www.statistics.gov.uk/instantfigures.asp<;/a>

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Yes
78%
No
22%
Voided Fri 14th Nov 2008 1:58am PST

Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 78%

Action history:

Created Sat 18th Oct 2008 10:43pm PDT by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Sun 19th Oct 2008 6:17am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Billion pounds??
Changed Description Sun 19th Oct 2008 3:31pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: ... /> Will national debt top £100 billion pounds by the end of
Changed Question text Sun 19th Oct 2008 3:31pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: ... UK national debt top £100 billion by the end of this
Unsuspended Sun 19th Oct 2008 3:32pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: Question type has been corrected
Voided Fri 14th Nov 2008 1:58am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Question will be resubmitted, concerns about some of the data used

Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (4)

4 predictions

9 weeks ago
bluedreamer predicted Yes (H$20 at 77%)
11 weeks ago
robuk[Admin] predicted No (H$100 at 24%)
11 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted No (H$292 at 23%)

Comments (2)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
A comment by the question creator provides a bit more info on this:

According to the settlement source, the current national debt is £7.8 billion, but the recent bank bailout adds another £50 billion. And now Gordon Brown is talking about pushing forward the budget to inject some cash into schools and hospitals before year's end - if he does this, the figure is likely to hit 100 billion. (so question really is asking will this school/hospital plan go ahead, and if it does so will the figure be more than £40 billion)
posted 11 weeks ago
I can assure the recent national debt is a lot more than £7.8bn. Maybe 100 times this.
posted 7 weeks ago

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