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Will Scientology send Anonymous to jail?

Current forecast: less than 5 years in federal prison (48% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is less than 5 years in federal prison with a probability of 48% (unchanged in last 1 day)

A teenager hacker has admitted carrying out a cyber attack that crashed Church of Scientology websites as part of a campaign by a mysterious underground group, justice officials said Friday.

Dmitriy Guzner, 18, of New Jersey will plead guilty to computer hacking for his role in launching a distributed denial of service (DDOS) attack against Scientology websites in January this year, the Justice Department said.

According to information filed in federal court in Los Angeles, Guzner described himself as a member of a shadowy Internet-based group known as "Anonymous" that has carried out a series of protests against Scientology.

A statement released by the Justice Department in Los Angeles said Guzner would formally plead guilty in "coming weeks" at a court in New Jersey. He faces up to 10 years in federal prison.

Full article:
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5id8oJGeZ6UAxWY_Ql1ZNy5MTr2dQ

What will be the punishment Guzner gets sentenced in this case?

More about Anonymous:
http://blogs.techrepublic.com.com/security/?p=598
http://www.google.com/search?q=ANONYMOUS+4chan


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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10 years (or more) in federal prison
2%
5 to less than 10 years in federal prison
24%
less than 5 years in federal prison
48%
no prison sentence
24%
no sentence at all
3%
Activity: H$25,067
Question suspends in 51 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 10 years (or more) in federal prison: 15%, 5 to less than 10 years in federal prison: 25%, less than 5 years in federal prison: 30%, no prison sentence: 25%, no sentence at all: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 3:45am PDT by kruijs[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (152)

152 predictions

4 days ago
americube predicted less than 5 years in federal prison (H$20 at 48%)
1 week ago
pics4d predicted 5 to less than 10 years in federal prison (H$1,000 at 14%)
4 weeks ago
casca predicted no prison sentence (H$100 at 29%)
4 weeks ago
nkkkkkk predicted 5 to less than 10 years in federal prison (H$20 at 7%)
6 weeks ago
lanceo23 predicted less than 5 years in federal prison (H$100 at 53%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 gadget666
guys, it wnt be scientology specifically that will send him to jail, but the federal court where the case was filed
posted 11 weeks ago
Good point. However i think that you understand what they meant. Personally i think he should get 1 year. After all, that will seem like a lot longer to that 18 year old, plus he wont ruin his life completly. And he will be learn that in this country we have a freedom of religion. What do you thinK? longer, shorter?
posted 10 weeks ago
  3 kruijs[Power User]
You really "believe" Scientology is a religion?
posted 10 weeks ago
  4 curios
He should be applauded? i am with kruijs
posted 10 weeks ago

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