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Where will Lewis Hamilton finish in the Brazilian Grand Prix?

Settled as Fifth

http://www.formula1.com/results/season/2008/804/6586/

Background:

Lewis Hamilton is 7 points ahead in the 2008 Formula One Drivers' Championship with one race to go - in Brazil on November 2 2008

He doesn't need to finish first to take the Drivers' Championship but he is very competitive and lost out last year when it was his to win.

Will he go for the win in Brazil - or will he play it safe?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

First
27%
Second
10%
Third
24%
Fourth
13%
Fifth
4%
Sixth
3%
Seventh
2%
Eighth
2%
Ninth or Lower
4%
Doesn't Finish
9%
Activity: H$10,578
Settled as Fifth on Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:18am PST

Suspend date: Sun 2nd Nov 2008 8am PST Settlement date: Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:18am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 2nd Nov 2008 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: First: 10%, Second: 10%, Third: 15%, Fourth: 15%, Fifth: 15%, Sixth: 10%, Seventh: 5%, Eighth: 5%, Ninth or Lower: 5%, Doesn't Finish: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 4:52am PDT by ianochaye
Changed Suspend date Mon 20th Oct 2008 12pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: was: "2009-10-31 16:59:00"
Suspended Sun 2nd Nov 2008 8am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:11am PST by jake: Settle as 5th.

http://www.formula1.com/results/season/2008/804/6586/
Settled as 'Fifth' Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:18am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://www.formula1.com/results/season/2008/804/6586/

Suspend date: Sun 2nd Nov 2008 8am PST Settlement date: Sun 2nd Nov 2008 11:18am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 2nd Nov 2008 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (63)

63 predictions

9 weeks ago
ksavai predicted Second (H$20 at 10%)
9 weeks ago
jchiavelli predicted First (H$150 at 26%)
9 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Second (H$20 at 10%)
9 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Fifth (H$20 at 4%)
9 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Doesn't Finish (H$20 at 9%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 ianochaye
I should have added that Hamilton needs to finish 5th or higher to guarantee that no matter where others finish he will win the Chapmpionship.
posted 11 weeks ago
  2 orlin
I would suggest the suspend time be moved up for an year and adjusted to the beginning of the race, which is 1700 GMT, 2 Nov; or 12 PM ET (9 AM PST).
posted 11 weeks ago
  3 pixelpaws
@ ianochaye - I wasn't sure until now whether Hamilton could take sixth and still be a lock or not, but since Massa and Hamilton have both won five races and took second in two others, Massa would win the tiebreak if he finished first or second and Hamilton only finished well enough to tie on points. Of course, it would be awfully convenient if Massa failed to get onto the podium. :)
posted 10 weeks ago

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