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Oscar Buzz: Will 'The Curious Case of Benjamin Button' be nominated for Best Picture?

Current forecast: 91% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 91% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Nominations aren't released until January 22nd, but its never too early to start picking our favorites.

Synopsis: Adapted from the 1920s story by F. Scott Fitzgerald, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" follows a man who is born in his eighties and ages backwards: a man, like any of us, who is unable to stop time. We follow his story, set in New Orleans from the end of World War I in 1918, into the 21st century. "Benjamin Button," is a grand tale of a not-so-ordinary man and the people and places he discovers along the way, the loves he finds, the joys of life and the sadness of death, and what lasts beyond time.

Starring: Brad Pitt and Kate Blanchett

This movie has been getting serious Oscar Buzz for months now -- but its not going to be released until Christmas day. Will the public like it? How will that influence its Oscar chances?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
91%
No
9%
Activity: H$28,203
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Suspended Fri 1st Feb 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Fri 1st Feb 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 7:16am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Unsuspended Mon 20th Oct 2008 7:22am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Changed Suspend date Mon 20th Oct 2008 7:31am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: was: "2008-02-01 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Mon 20th Oct 2008 7:31am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Changed Suspend date Sun 9th Nov 2008 4:19pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: was: "2009-02-01 23:59:00"

Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

3 days ago
gtown predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 91%)
5 days ago
davesov predicted Yes (H$100 at 91%)
6 days ago
natsthename predicted Yes (H$1,200 at 90%)
6 days ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 87%)
1 week ago
gtown predicted Yes (H$100 at 82%)
more

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