Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 7:08am PST by

Oscar Buzz: Will 'Dark Knight' be nominated for Best Picture?

Settled as No

Background: Nominations aren't released until January 22nd, but its never too early to start picking our favorites.

By far the biggest movie of the year -- Heath Ledger has been receiving steady Oscar Buzz for over a year now, but now momentum is building for a best picture nod. Will the Academy deign to acknowledge such a commercially successful movie?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

56%

44%

Settled as No on Thu 22nd Jan 6:12am PST

Activity: H$165,695
Predictions: 334
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Wed 21st Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 22nd Jan 6:12am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 21st Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 7:08am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Changed Description Sun 9th Nov 2008 4:19pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: show details

... .html">picking our favorites</a~~>. <~~>.<br/> <br/> By far the

Changed Suspend date Sun 9th Nov 2008 4:19pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: was: "2009-02-01 23:59:00"

Changed Description Tue 11th Nov 2008 12:13pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: show details

... Nominations aren't released until ~~February~~January 222nd, but its never too early

Suspended Wed 21st Jan 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'No' Thu 22nd Jan 6:12am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

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Predictions (334)

43 weeks ago

tisha

predicted Yes (H$200 at 56%)

43 weeks ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

predicted Yes (H$1,500 at 56%)

43 weeks ago

xemu

predicted No (H$50 at 46%)

43 weeks ago

ryanj

predicted No (H$100 at 46%)

43 weeks ago

bwfowler Level 9, Expert (H$9,108)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 54%)

Comments (2)

ryanb37 Level 12, Guru (H$30,706)

WOW jen I think you started these odds kinda low it was the highest grossing film of
the year and i would have started it at 75% yes at least oh well free money

posted 1 year ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

Well the experts still consider it a longshot -- its not like big money makers usually do all that well at the oscars.

posted 1 year ago

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