Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?

Settled as Obama leads by 9 or 10 points

Background: Well, Obama is maintaining a strong lead through October with only two weeks to go. McCain needs a major game changer to pull out a win -- which isn't to say that isn't possible. Undecideds are decreasing and Obama has held the majority of registered voters (i.e. over 50%) for over a week. Will McCain be able to turn things around this week? Will Obama further his lead? Or have we begun to stagnante in the Obama +10 range?

Note: Gallup polls are the result of a 3 day rolling average so the poll released on Monday will be based on surveys taken Friday, Saturday and Sunday. This market will continue to use the registered voters numbers it has been using since first introduced.


Settlement details:http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx posted near 1300ET on Monday October 27.
If no poll is posted that day for some reason, will be the next released Gallup daily poll.

 
Forecast history %
Obama leads by 15 points or more
0%
Obama leads by 13 or 14 points
2%
Obama leads by 11 or 12 points
21%
Obama leads by 9 or 10 points
50%
Obama leads by 7 or 8 points
18%
Obama leads by 5 or 6 points
7%
Other
1%
Settled as Obama leads by 9 or 10 points on Mon 27th Oct 2008 12:41pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST
Settlement date: Mon 27th Oct 2008 12:41pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama leads by 15 points or more: 5%, Obama leads by 13 or 14 points: 15%, Obama leads by 11 or 12 points: 35%, Obama leads by 9 or 10 points: 25%, Obama leads by 7 or 8 points: 10%, Obama leads by 5 or 6 points: 5%, Other: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 9:34am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Obama leads by 9 or 10 points' Mon 27th Oct 2008 12:41pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST
Settlement date: Mon 27th Oct 2008 12:41pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (356)

1 year ago
ksavai predicted Obama leads by 9 or 10 points (H$50 at 50%)
1 year ago
mohi predicted Obama leads by 11 or 12 points (H$20 at 22%)
1 year ago
curios predicted Obama leads by 9 or 10 points (H$100 at 48%)
1 year ago
steez predicted Obama leads by 9 or 10 points (H$61 at 47%)
1 year ago
coolkraft predicted Obama leads by 11 or 12 points (H$50 at 22%)

Comments (1)

  1 syllogic
GOBAMA!
posted 1 year ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Poll: Barack Obama leading John McCain in Michigan

A new poll shows Democrat Barack Obama widening a lead over Republican John McCain in Michigan.. . The EPIC-MRA poll released Thursday and...

score: 10
Obama up in Gallup daily tracking poll

Democrat Barack Obama continues to lead John McCain in the . Among registered voters Obama is ahead 50 percent to 43 percent. Gallup Poll Daily tracking shows Barack Obama running ahead of

score: 10
New voters favor Obama, poll indicates

of voters said they will cast their first ballot in the 2008 U.S. presidential race, results from a Gallup poll released Thursday indicate. The percentage matches the figure Gallup said its final 2004 pre-election poll indicated. However, when taking in

score: 10
Obama up in Gallup tracking polls

Barack Obama leads John McCain in . The Democrat leads the Republican 51 percent to 42 percent among registered voters. Regardless of the predictors used to identify likely voters, the conclusion

score: 10
Older voters lead youth turnout indicators

lag behind older counterparts on key turnout indicators, including whether they plan to vote this year, results a Gallup Poll indicates. Democratic Party presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., has a sizable lead over Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz.,