What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?

Suspend date: Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST
Settlement date: Mon 27th Oct 2008 12:41pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama leads by 15 points or more: 5%, Obama leads by 13 or 14 points: 15%, Obama leads by 11 or 12 points: 35%, Obama leads by 9 or 10 points: 25%, Obama leads by 7 or 8 points: 10%, Obama leads by 5 or 6 points: 5%, Other: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 9:34am PST by jenniandboys

Changed Description Mon 20th Oct 2008 9:40am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... in the Obama +10 range? <br/> <br/> I've re-distributed the options as most weeks have been closing in the 5-8 range lately. Additionally, the market will suspend a couple hours earlier on Monday. <?<br/> <br/> Note: Gallup polls ... taken Friday, Saturday and Sunday. <.<br/> <br/> This market will

Changed Description Mon 20th Oct 2008 9:40am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... taken Friday, Saturday and Sunday.<br/> <br/> . This market will continue to

Changed Settlement info Mon 20th Oct 2008 12:20pm PST by jenniandboys: show details

... &lt;a href="<<a href="http://www.gallup. ... /tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx</a>"><a href="http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx&lt">http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx&lt</a>;/a> <br/> <br/> > posted near 1300ET on Monday October 27. <.<br/> If no poll is

Changed Description Wed 22nd Oct 2008 8:41am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... been using since first introduced.<br/> <br/> <center><object type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://sas-origin.onstreammedia.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Widget/wwwWidget.swf" id="w48fe1eaf11d0f95c48ff578ffca909be" height="250" width="300"> <param value="http://sas-origin.onstreammedia.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Widget/wwwWidget.swf" name="movie"/> <param value="transparent" name="wmode"><param value="scale" name="exactfit"> <param value="site=www&space=wwwhpribbon" name="flashvars"> <param value="all" name="allowNetworking"> <param value="always" name="allowScriptAccess"></object></center><br/>

Changed Description Fri 24th Oct 2008 9:23am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... Production/Widget/wwwWidget.swf" id="w48fe1eaf11d0f95c48ff578ffca909bew48fe1eaf11d0f95c490108a621e5fd32" height="250" width="300"> <param ... /Widget/wwwWidget.swf" name="movie"/> <"> <param value="transparent" name="wmode">< ... scale" name="exactfit"> <param value="pid=490108a621e5fd32&amp;wid=48fe1eaf11d0f95c&amp;site=www&amp;space=wwwhpribbon" name="flashvars"> <param

Suspended Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Obama leads by 9 or 10 points' Mon 27th Oct 2008 12:41pm PST by jenniandboys

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Suspend date: Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST
Settlement date: Mon 27th Oct 2008 12:41pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 27th Oct 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details