faisal 
Will Colin Powell have a cabinet-level appointment within the first year of the new presidency?
See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Cabinet#Current_Cabinet for a list of cabinet positions, and http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5isOFwdbq0tsqatW6vJpkDRTI1gMgD93UAVE80 for hints of such from Obama.
Initial likelihood is approximately based on current estimated likelihood of Obama and McCain each winning, 75% chance that Powel comes aboard an Obama administration, 25% chance he comes aboard a McCain administration, and 50% chance any such association is a cabinet level appointment.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
- Activity: H$105,784 |
- Predictions: 50 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Wed 20th Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 21st Jan 8:55am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 19th Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 33%
Action history:
faisal john1
: Settlement date reached; result: NO 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
Suspend date: Wed 20th Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 21st Jan 8:55am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 19th Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (50)
conservatives_suck
donnamil
predicted No (H$10,000 at 97%)
predicted No (H$444 at 95%)
jenniandboysComments (1)
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