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Will DOW open up, 21 October?

Settled as No

DJIA opened 2.63 points lower at 9262.80

Background:

null


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
5%
No
95%
Activity: H$82,493
Settled as No on Tue 21st Oct 2008 7:05am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 21st Oct 2008 6:30am PDT Settlement date: Tue 21st Oct 2008 7:05am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 21st Oct 2008 6:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 10:53am PDT by elly
Suspended Tue 21st Oct 2008 6:30am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Tue 21st Oct 2008 7:05am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: DJIA opened 2.63 points lower at 9262.80

Suspend date: Tue 21st Oct 2008 6:30am PDT Settlement date: Tue 21st Oct 2008 7:05am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 21st Oct 2008 6:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (67)

67 predictions

11 weeks ago
noah_reason predicted Yes (H$100 at 5%)
11 weeks ago
pmk2668 predicted No (H$1,250 at 86%)
11 weeks ago
jobsworth predicted Yes (H$3,414 at 16%)
11 weeks ago
noah_reason predicted Yes (H$50 at 9%)
11 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted Yes (H$333 at 8%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
After a lot of discussion and wringing of hands (no necks, just hands) a decision has been arrived at regarding in-play market questions. This applies to all up/down, higher/lower questions referring to both the American and International indices.

<<Finalisation of in-play issues
All open-up/down questions to suspend at least one hour prior to opening bell. All close up/down questions to suspend at opening bell. Please help enforce.Applies to all international markets as well.>>

So this will take effect beginning with Wednesday's markets. This means for example, that the question regarding whether the DJIA will open up will have to suspend at 7:30 EDT while the question about whether the DJIA will close higher can still remain open until the opening bell. This also applies to the three current international markets, the FTSE, DAX, and BSE. Questions regarding these markets will be edited to allow for the new suspension time. Future questions should be created with these times in mind.

Thanks to everyone for their input into this matter.
posted 11 weeks ago
  2 orlin
Well, Dow and Nasdaq open at 9.30 AM EDT. One hour earlier is 8.30 AM, not 7.30 AM as in your example for the opening question.
Could you please clarify this.
posted 11 weeks ago
  3 bayoubear[Admin]
I'm sorry...I'm in the Central Time Zone and sometimes slip up...you're correct, it should be 8:30 EDT or 7:30 CDT.....
posted 11 weeks ago
  4 orlin
Now it is clear, thank you.
posted 11 weeks ago

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