Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 1:03pm PDT by 
hect0r
All questions » Science » Natural Disasters » hect0r 
Will there be another large (6.5 or greater) earthquake this year, and where will it be?
Settled as Asia
6.5 earthquake in China
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/eqinthenews/2008/us2008zfae/
Background:
Will there be a large (6.5 or greater) earthquake on the Moment magnitude scale this year, and where will it be?
There have been 4 so far:
Sichuan earthquake which was 8.0
Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake which was 7.2
Kyrgyzstan earthquake which was 6.6
Peloponnese earthquake which was 6.5
Somewhere else refers to Antarctica or in the middle of the ocean.
There have been 4 so far:
Sichuan earthquake which was 8.0
Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake which was 7.2
Kyrgyzstan earthquake which was 6.6
Peloponnese earthquake which was 6.5
Somewhere else refers to Antarctica or in the middle of the ocean.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
| None this year |
| |||
| North America |
| |||
| South America |
| |||
| Europe |
| |||
| Africa |
| |||
| Asia |
| |||
| Australia |
| |||
| Somewhere else |
|
Activity: H$8,050
Settled as Asia on Sun 9th Nov 2008 6:52pm PST
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Sun 9th Nov 2008 6:52pm PST
Initial likelihoods: None this year: 18%, North America: 10%, South America: 6%, Europe: 15%, Africa: 10%, Asia: 25%, Australia: 6%, Somewhere else: 10%
Action history:
Created Mon 20th Oct 2008 1:03pm PDT by hect0r
hect0r
Settlement requested Mon 27th Oct 2008 2:56pm PDT by 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: Winning prediction = "Somewhere else"
Location (Tonga): Oceania, archipelago in the South Pacific Ocean, about two-thirds of the way from Hawaii to New Zealand
<http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2008yiap.php>
Prediction cutoff:
Sunday, October 19, 2008 at 05:10:33 UTC (see link or other time zones) (market suspended)
newswrangler: Winning prediction = "Somewhere else"
Location (Tonga): Oceania, archipelago in the South Pacific Ocean, about two-thirds of the way from Hawaii to New Zealand
<http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2008yiap.php>
Prediction cutoff:
Sunday, October 19, 2008 at 05:10:33 UTC (see link or other time zones) (market suspended)
Settlement requested Sun 9th Nov 2008 6:47pm PST by 
sdchargers
: looks like asia
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/eqinthenews/2008/us2008zfae/ (market suspended)
sdchargers: looks like asia
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/eqinthenews/2008/us2008zfae/ (market suspended)
Settled as 'Asia' Sun 9th Nov 2008 6:52pm PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: 6.5 earthquake in China
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/eqinthenews/2008/us2008zfae/
tisha: 6.5 earthquake in China
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/eqinthenews/2008/us2008zfae/
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Sun 9th Nov 2008 6:52pm PST
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (45)
45 predictions
horsefeathers
predicted Asia (H$50 at 28%)
gtown
predicted None this year (H$20 at 22%)
predicted Asia (H$600 at 31%)Comments (9)
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Related tags
New in Science » Natural Disasters
If one occurs on the satellite Io, does this count as somewhere else, and take precedence?
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2008yiap.php
Please suspend.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/10/28/pakistan.earthquake/index.html
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