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Will Elwyn Tinklenberg defeat Republican incumbent Michelle Bachman to win Minnesota's 6th district?

Settled as No

Winning prediction = "No"

Tinklenberg did not defeat Bachman.

Minnesota 06

Bachmann (Incumbent) 187,805 46%

Tinklenberg 175,784 44%

100% of precincts reporting

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/state/#MN>

Background:

Representative Michelle Bachmann (elected 2006 to Minnesota's Sixth District) has come under national attention from pundits like Keith Olbermann for comments she made on MSNBC's "Hardball" Oct. 17. She called for a Congressional investigation to determine which of the Congresspeople presently serving are "anti-American" and said that some of Barack Obama's associations are anti-American.

Over the next 24 hours, opponent Elwyn Tinklenberg raised $438,000 from internet contributions.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJIQm_7YAUI&feature=related

http://www.tinklenberg08.com/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
66%
No
34%
Activity: H$6,614
Settled as No on Wed 5th Nov 2008 12:13pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 2008 12:13pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Tue 21st Oct 2008 6:27am PDT by capecodviking
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 2008 11:23am PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction = "No"

Tinklenberg did not defeat Bachman.

Minnesota 06

Bachmann (Incumbent) 187,805 46%

Tinklenberg 175,784 44%

100% of precincts reporting

<http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/state/#MN>
Settled as 'No' Wed 5th Nov 2008 12:13pm PST by destry[Admin]: Winning prediction = "No"

Tinklenberg did not defeat Bachman.

Minnesota 06

Bachmann (Incumbent) 187,805 46%

Tinklenberg 175,784 44%

100% of precincts reporting

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/state/#MN>

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 2008 12:13pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

9 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted Yes (H$500 at 63%)
10 weeks ago
growthy predicted Yes (H$250 at 62%)
10 weeks ago
linx0003 predicted Yes (H$50 at 62%)
10 weeks ago
linx0003 predicted Yes (H$10 at 62%)
10 weeks ago
mjsjd predicted Yes (H$20 at 62%)
more

Comments (4)

Bachmann's response in Politico to the controversy: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14777.html
posted 11 weeks ago
The National Republican Congressional Committee is pulling its media purchases from Bachmann's race:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/22/gop-pulling-its-ads-from_n_136941.html

Looks as if they've decided to pull the rug from under her...
posted 11 weeks ago
The RNC should have it's head examined. Michelle did (and said) nothing wrong, and now she has to "explain herself".

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j3_VRUHStOg

Poor Chris Mathews has his feelings hurt when she feeds him the truth.
posted 10 weeks ago
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0SQTxxkdSIs&NR=1

By the way, the RNC was an event a while back. The NRCC is who makes political ads happen for the Republicans.
posted 9 weeks ago

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