Created Tue 21st Oct 2008 9:45am PST by

harryhayfield Level 11, Legend (H$22,012)

At what level will the Dow Jones Industrial Average close on Election Day?

Settled as Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98

DJIA closed at 9625.28 on 11/04/08, Election Day

Background:

Background: According to the board at the NYSE, what will be the closing number of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on November 4th 2008?

Settlement details:As shown on the big board at the NYSE and reported on either CNBC or Bloombrg TV

Forecast history %

Less than 8,338.87

Between 9,265.42 and 8,338.88

41%

Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98

50%

Between 10,191.98 and 11,118.53

Above 11,118.54

Settled as Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98 on Tue 4th Nov 2008 4:56pm PST

Activity: H$31,121
Predictions: 89
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 12pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 4:56pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 2008 12pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 8,338.87: 15%, Between 9,265.42 and 8,338.88: 20%, Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98: 30%, Between 10,191.98 and 11,118.53: 20%, Above 11,118.54: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 21st Oct 2008 9:45am PST by

harryhayfield Level 11, Legend (H$22,012)

Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 2008 12pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Tue 4th Nov 2008 1:13pm PST by

orlin

: Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98

Close 9,625.28

http://finance.aol.com/quotes/dow-jones-industrial-average/%24indu/dji

Settled as 'Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98' Tue 4th Nov 2008 4:56pm PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: DJIA closed at 9625.28 on 11/04/08, Election Day

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Predictions (89)

34 weeks ago

bency

predicted Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98 (H$75 at 74%)

34 weeks ago

bobdevine Level 14, Prophet (H$205,163)

predicted Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98 (H$970 at 59%)

34 weeks ago

hubdubbob Level 13, Psychic (H$90,276)

predicted Between 9,265.42 and 8,338.88 (H$200 at 44%)

34 weeks ago

sosakan Level 10, Genius (H$10,247)

predicted Between 9,265.43 and 10,191.98 (H$800 at 38%)

34 weeks ago

ksavai Level 12, Guru (H$32,967)

predicted Between 9,265.42 and 8,338.88 (H$50 at 49%)

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