Created Tue 21st Oct 2008 5:19pm PST by
pixelpaws
When will the DJIA next close above 10,000?
Settled as September through December 2009
DJIA did close above 10,000, on October 14 at 10015.90.
Background:
Background: With the recent plunge below 8,500, the days of quintuple-digit closes seem like a distant memory. When will we next scramble back above that psychological barrier?
Starting odds are somewhat of a guess since, frankly, the market has done everything but behave rationally. They're very loosely based on long-term averages.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
When will the DJIA next close above 10,000?
On or before Friday, November 28, 2008
December 2008
January 2009
February 2009
March 2009
April 2009
May or June 2009
July or August 2009
September through December 2009
Not before December 31, 2009
Forecast history %
|
| On or before Friday, November 28, 2008 | |
|
| December 2008 | |
|
| January 2009 | |
|
| February 2009 | |
|
| March 2009 | |
|
| April 2009 | |
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| May or June 2009 | |
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| July or August 2009 | |
|
| September through December 2009 | |
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| Not before December 31, 2009 | |
Settled as September through December 2009 on Sun 18th Oct 4:28am PST
Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 4:30am PST (6 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Sun 18th Oct 4:28am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 14th Oct 11am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
On or before Friday, November 28, 2008: 2%, December 2008: 5%, January 2009: 12%, February 2009: 15%, March 2009: 15%, April 2009: 15%, May or June 2009: 12%, July or August 2009: 11%, September through December 2009: 8%, Not before December 31, 2009: 5%
Action history:
Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 4:30am PST (6 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Sun 18th Oct 4:28am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 14th Oct 11am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Predictions (1214)
3 weeks ago
curly predicted
September through December 2009 (H$10,000 at 96%)
3 weeks ago
tuff_sledding![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
predicted
September through December 2009 (H$800 at 74%)
3 weeks ago
rogerkni
predicted
Not before December 31, 2009 (H$400 at 25%)
3 weeks ago
hoernla predicted
September through December 2009 (H$100 at 74%)
3 weeks ago
mungo10 predicted
September through December 2009 (H$500 at 76%)
Comments (5)
Comments: 5
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: DJIA did close above 10,000, on October 14 at 10015.90. 
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