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Who Will Win The 2008/09 FA Cup?

Current forecast: Manchester United (22% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Manchester United with a probability of 22% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The FA Cup is the oldest football competition in the world, beginning in 1871. It is traditionally the most sought after trophy in English football and this season a record 762 entered the tournament.

Before last season, no team outside the top four of Manchester United, Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool had won the tournament for 13 years, but that tradition was broken last year when Portsmouth were crowned winners. Can they do it again, or will one of the top teams win again, or this year perhaps another Premiership team will win the coveted title.

The question closes on Friday May 29th, prior to the final which is being held on May 30th at Wembley Stadium. Initial odds are based on teams current performance and recent history in this competition.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Manchester United
22%
Chelsea
18%
Arsenal
11%
Liverpool
12%
Portsmouth
4%
Aston Villa
5%
Manchester City
7%
Other Premiership Team
13%
Championship Team
5%
Other League Team
2%
Activity: H$1,879
Question suspends in 20 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 29th May 7am PDT (20 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Manchester United: 15%, Chelsea: 15%, Arsenal: 15%, Liverpool: 15%, Portsmouth: 5%, Aston Villa: 5%, Manchester City: 10%, Other Premiership Team: 14%, Championship Team: 5%, Other League Team: 1%

Action history:

Suspend date: Fri 29th May 7am PDT (20 weeks to go)
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Predictions (30)

30 predictions

2 days ago
super007 predicted Other Premiership Team (H$5 at 13%)
3 days ago
phantomninja predicted Manchester United (H$100 at 21%)
4 days ago
korbenvb predicted Other Premiership Team (H$50 at 13%)
5 days ago
charliewarlie predicted Aston Villa (H$20 at 5%)
6 days ago
johnforegate predicted Other Premiership Team (H$50 at 12%)
more

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