Created Wed 22nd Oct 2008 7:48pm PST by

eliminati Level 15, Seer (H$345,070)

How many triple digit point swings will the DJIA have left in 2008?

Settled as 30-35

There were 35 triple digit swings during the period of this question.

Background:

Background: There are exactly 50 weekdays left till the end of the year, with two of those as holidays - Thur. Nov 27th for Turkey Day and Thur. Dec 25th for Present Day - to give us 48 TOTAL DJIA DAYS LEFT THIS YEAR. The prediction suspends on the 26th, with 3 days left in the year after that.

This counts only the reported +/- you see touted nightly on news shows and in newspaper, NOT the intraday swing and NOT after-hours trading.
Triple digit means 100.00 or higher, plus or minus.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

0-19

20-29

11%

30-35

19%

36-40

31%

41-45

23%

46 and over

10%

Settled as 30-35 on Thu 1st Jan 8:22am PST

Activity: H$5,380
Predictions: 47
Comments: 7

Suspend date: Fri 26th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 8:22am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 26th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0-19: 1%, 20-29: 1%, 30-35: 1%, 36-40: 25%, 41-45: 50%, 46 and over: 22%

Action history:

Created Wed 22nd Oct 2008 7:48pm PST by

eliminati Level 15, Seer (H$345,070)

Settlement requested Fri 26th Dec 2008 10:56pm PST by

deanthoreau: if u open this u can download to excel and then just ad a column to subtract...
and erase the dates u dont need
u will have the info in about 5 minutes.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EDJI

Settlement requested Fri 26th Dec 2008 11:40pm PST by

deanthoreau: bayou bear,
if u send me an email i will send u the excel sheet i have that i downloaded form the site i sent u.
so far 33 triple digit days.
only 3 stock mkt days days left in 2008

Suspended Fri 26th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 27th Dec 2008 1:43am PST by

curios: here is a better guide
http://finance.aol.com/quotes/dow-jones-industrial-average/%24indu/dji/historical-prices?tf=y&gran=d

Settlement requested Wed 31st Dec 2008 1:02pm PST by

deanthoreau: at the clos Dec 31, 2008 total number of 3 digit swings were 35.
If u want me to send u the excel sheet that i have updated i will. just tell me
dean

Settled as '30-35' Thu 1st Jan 8:22am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: There were 35 triple digit swings during the period of this question.

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Predictions (47)

47 weeks ago

curios predicted 30-35 (H$100 at 18%)

47 weeks ago

deanthoreau predicted 30-35 (H$100 at 16%)

47 weeks ago

deanthoreau predicted 36-40 (H$50 at 32%)

47 weeks ago

deanthoreau predicted 30-35 (H$100 at 15%)

47 weeks ago

deanthoreau predicted 36-40 (H$100 at 32%)

Comments (7)

bayoubear [Admin]

Just for my info...is there a convenient site that records the daily results of the DJIA and other markets...I'm just thinking ahead about settlement issues and trying to count the number of days over the next two months....

Thanks for any info you can provide

posted 1 year ago

mork

I think this might be what you're looking for but not sure. http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=983582
If you haven't seen it before, try messing around with the scroll bar underneath the graph.

posted 1 year ago

eliminati Level 15, Seer (H$345,070)

Also, this site has tons of info and breakdowns of charts, as well as previous 5-days close and the ability to search any previous date:

http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/npage/2_3051.html?sid=

posted 1 year ago

deanthoreau

bayou bear u might want to start adding and subtracting now here is a comprehensive list
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EDJI

posted 47 weeks ago

curios

bear-http://finance.aol.com/quotes/dow-jones-industrial-average/%24indu/dji/historical-prices?tf=y&gran=d

posted 46 weeks ago

deanthoreau

and that is 34 three digit swings as of 12/30/08 418 pm est!!!!!

posted 46 weeks ago

bayoubear [Admin]

And one more for Wednesday, 12/31/08 makes for 35!

posted 46 weeks ago

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