cheesenips
What will Palin do?
Since it is now Nov 4th in Alaska, this market can settle. The upcoming book is just that upcoming.
Background:
a- Take office as Vice President of the US.
b- Take office as President of the US.
c- Make a speech to an audience of over 5,000 people.
d- Have a book published, with or without a ghost writer.
e- Give birth to, or adopt, another child.
f- Divorce her husband.
g- Become indicted for a misdemeanor or felony.
h- Visit Russia.
i- Run for a public office other than Governor of Alaska.
j- Become the regular host of a TV or radio talk show or Internet blog.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Clarification - the book to be published on Nov 17th, does not count, since it is not officially available by the end of this market.
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- Activity: H$82,741 |
- Predictions: 360 |
Comments: 26
Suspend date: Wed 4th Nov 2009 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Wed 4th Nov 2009 1:14am PST
Initial likelihoods: None of the above events occurs: 8%, One of the above events occurs: 20%, Two of the above events occur: 24%, Three of the above events occur: 25%, Four of the above events occur: 12%, Five of the above events occur: 8%, Six or more of the above events occur: 3%
Action history:
cheesenips 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: show detailsdestry: show detailsdestry: Market suspended as the question asks what will happy "by" Nov 4th. And Nov 4th has arrived. destry: Since it is now Nov 4th in Alaska, this market can settle. The upcoming book is just that upcoming. 
Suspend date: Wed 4th Nov 2009 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Wed 4th Nov 2009 1:14am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (360)
hoernla
predicted None of the above events occurs (H$867 at 59%)
htlsales
predicted One of the above events occurs (H$20 at 39%)
predicted One of the above events occurs (H$200 at 38%)Comments (26)
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http://mx.youtube.com/watch?v=nhpqeo_AMz0
http://learfield.typepad.com/radioiowa/2008/10/palin-in-des-moines.html
10,000 people in the crowd before the fire marshall made the overflow stand outside.
She has already done one thing on the list!
bizarre news today.
Her book doesn't hit the shelves until Nov. 17th, but it is already being sold.
"Her memoir, "Going Rogue," will be published next month and pre-sales already have made it a national best seller."
Excerpt taken from
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091008/ap_on_en_ot/us_levi_johnston_playgirl;_ylt=AhBV8FM.k4bfzN6dJZ8C0a6s0NUE;_ylu=X3oDMTNicHJoNHRoBGFzc2V0A2FwLzIwMDkxMDA4L3VzX2xldmlfam9obnN0b25fcGxheWdpcmwEY3BvcwM5BHBvcwM2BHB0A2hvbWVfY29rZQRzZWMDeW5faGVhZGxpbmVfbGlzdARzbGsDZmF0aGVyb2ZwYWxp
On Tue, Nov 3, 2009 at 12:33 PM, wrote:
i don't wanna seem impatient, but i flagged the question below. it closes soon and in case you didn't get the flag, will palin's book that comes out nov 17th count for one of the things she could do?
DD
his reply - 1:48 in the afternoon - I will look into it and get back to you.
i emailed him again tonight and no response. so what was there to look into? either he was gonna count the book or he wasn't. how much longer do we have to put up with this behavior from the admin? i cashed out. goodluck to those who have money in the market.
P.S. he made wagers about an hour ago, so he's got time for that.
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