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World Series (IN-PLAY!). Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies. # of lead changes on 10/27?

Settled as No lead changes - One goes all the way!

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/ps/y2008/boxscore.jsp?gid=2008_10_27_tbamlb_phimlb_1

Background:

Background: Game Five of the World Series. Phillies lead the series 3-1 and can clinch tonight! Rays need a win to take the series back to Tampa.

Surprisingly, so far the team that has scored first has gone on to win.
Will tonight's game be different?

How many lead changes will there be in game 5? (first run does not count).
Game 1 - 0 - Phillies led the whole game
Game 2 - 0 - Rays led the whole game
Game 3 - 0 - Phillies led/tied; never lost lead
Game 4 - 0 - Phillies led the whole way

Tentative pitchers are:
Rays - Scott Kazmir (12-8; 3.49 era)
Phillies - Cole Hammels (14-10; 3.09 era)

Updated information will be provided before start of the game.

THIS WILL BE AN IN-PLAY MARKET, WHICH WILL SUSPEND DURING THE SEVENTH INNING STRETCH (MIDDLE OF 7TH).

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
No lead changes - One goes all the way!
36%
1 lead change
44%
2 lead changes
16%
3 lead changes
3%
4 or more lead changes
2%
Settled as No lead changes - One goes all the way! on Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:59pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:30pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:59pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: No lead changes - One goes all the way!: 30%, 1 lead change: 25%, 2 lead changes: 25%, 3 lead changes: 15%, 4 or more lead changes: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 27th Oct 2008 5:43am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]
Suspended Mon 27th Oct 2008 6:03am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Suspended until start of game (will open at 8:00pm EST) and be in-play.
Unsuspended Mon 27th Oct 2008 6:43am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]
Suspended Mon 27th Oct 2008 6:44am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Question suspended and will open at start of game tonight 8:00pm EST to be a live - in play question!
Unsuspended Mon 27th Oct 2008 4:03pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Time for In-Play!!! Question is unsuspending for live predictions as start of game is minutes away!!
Suspended Mon 27th Oct 2008 6:57pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Suspended due to indefinite rain delay and likely postponement of game.
Changed Suspend date Tue 28th Oct 2008 3:51pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: was: "2008-10-27 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 28th Oct 2008 3:51pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Due to the circumstances with this in-play question - the first World Series game in history being suspended - the question will remain open until the game is resumed (as initially planned). The game is tentatively scheduled for Wed, October 29th at 8:30pm EST (weather permitting). Will suspend at the seventh inning stretch whenever the game is resumed. So, wager away!
Suspended Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:09pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Suspend time (7th inning stretch) reached
Suspended Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:09pm PST by onedave[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Suspended during seventh-inning stretch.
Settled as 'No lead changes - One goes all the way!' Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:59pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/ps/y2008/boxscore.jsp?gid=2008_10_27_tbamlb_phimlb_1

Suspend date: Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:30pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:59pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 29th Oct 2008 5:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (46)

1 year ago
onedave[Power User] predicted 1 lead change (H$20 at 43%)
1 year ago
onedave[Power User] predicted No lead changes - One goes all the way! (H$50 at 46%)
1 year ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted No lead changes - One goes all the way! (H$500 at 30%)
1 year ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted 1 lead change (H$1,000 at 49%)
1 year ago
ksavai predicted No lead changes - One goes all the way! (H$20 at 31%)

Comments (4)

  1 mrperfkt[Admin]
Please note that I edited the settlement options after there were 10 wagers. There had been no option for one change (edited it earlier, but it must not have taken). If this affects any of the first 10 wagers, please let me know and I will cancel your wager.
Sorry about that.
Mark
posted 1 year ago
  2 mrperfkt[Admin]
Reminder that this suspends in the middle of the 7th!
1 1/2 innings to go!
posted 1 year ago
  3 mrperfkt[Admin]
The game has been officially postponed until tomorrow. For that reason, I'm suspending until we (Admins and SU's) figure out how to best handle these questions and how this change affects current wagers.
Thanks for everyone's patience...guess this is one of the complications of the in-plays.
posted 1 year ago
  4 mrperfkt[Admin]
Due to the circumstances with this in-play question - the first World Series game in history being suspended - the question will remain open until the game is resumed (as initially planned). The game is tentatively scheduled for Wed, October 29th at 8:30pm EST (weather permitting). Will suspend at the seventh inning stretch whenever the game is resumed. So, wager away!
posted 1 year ago

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