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US Presidential Election: Steven Colbert vs Paris Hilton, who has more votes?

Settled as Other

No large statistics reported. One report of Paris for senate, but no larger reporting on the relative write-in numbers. Settles as other.

Background:

Background: Political satirist Steven Colbert threw his hat into the election ring last summer, only to have his name blocked from the primary ballot in South Carolina (the only state he tried to get on) a week later. Nevertheless, there is strong support from the ColbertNation for write-ins on November 4th.

Paris Hilton has been a surprise Presidential participant, after McCain used her in the now (in)famous Celebrity ad, she has responded with several "campaign ads" of her own. Her latest is below. There are multiple fan sites for her, including the simply named, writeinparishilton.org who actually went to the trouble of a press release.



Colbert was running (mostly) as a Democrat and Paris seems to be running on a platform of.. well.. platforms and bikinis.

Who will receive the most write-in votes?

(For those of you who would like to think about this seriously, here's a guideline of write-in rules for the various states)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Other includes MSM not reporting one/both of the write in statistics.

 
Forecast history %
Steven Colbert
65%
Paris Hilton
15%
Other
20%
Settled as Other on Sat 15th Nov 2008 2:34pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 1:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 15th Nov 2008 2:34pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 1:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Steven Colbert: 40%, Paris Hilton: 30%, Other : 30%

Action history:

Created Tue 28th Oct 2008 6:49am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2008 1:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Other ' Sat 15th Nov 2008 2:34pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: No large statistics reported. One report of Paris for senate, but no larger reporting on the relative write-in numbers. Settles as other.

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 1:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 15th Nov 2008 2:34pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 1:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (135)

1 year ago
mrj0041 predicted Steven Colbert (H$100 at 63%)
1 year ago
bobyn42 predicted Steven Colbert (H$50 at 62%)
1 year ago
jimbo predicted Paris Hilton (H$20 at 15%)
1 year ago
pita_soup predicted Steven Colbert (H$20 at 63%)
1 year ago
pita_soup predicted Steven Colbert (H$50 at 63%)

Comments (14)

I will admit that the entire reason I made this market was to have a place to put that video. I thought it was pretty funny, in a blonde kinda way.
posted 1 year ago
Haha, that video was awesome.

"If you’re gonna put lipstick on a pig, make sure that it matches her skin tone"

"Trade in the cabinet... for a walk-in closet!"
posted 1 year ago
  3 chatarra
Funny video indeed. Thanks Jenni - I would have never seen that one, without you showing it here.
posted 1 year ago
I strongly encourage steven, paris, and any other democrat to run for president! They are excellent vote sucks from Obama.
posted 1 year ago
  5 curios
I don't believe i did this must be having a blond day
posted 1 year ago
Did what?
posted 1 year ago
  7 curios
has a wager on this
posted 1 year ago
My money is on steven colbert. Some people may actually think he would be a good president. Paris..... not so much
posted 1 year ago
  9 curios
Yes but i bet she has better pins
posted 1 year ago
@curios: Ha! Yeah! Definitely! And much better campaign ads too :)
posted 1 year ago
  11 mork[Power User]
It's a great question Jenni.
I wonder if McCain would have had a better chance with a McCain/Hilton ticket. The idea is less of a stretch than it used to be.
posted 1 year ago
lol what is the other option for?
posted 1 year ago
In the settlment options it says "Other includes MSM not reporting one/both of the write in statistics"
posted 1 year ago
In the settlment options it says "Other includes MSM not reporting one/both of the write in statistics"
posted 1 year ago

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