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Will any third party or independent be elected to the Senate?

Settled as No

Winning prediction = "No"

Only Oregon, Minnesota, Alaska and Georgia races have not been finalized by CNN.

Independents ran in two those states (Georgia and Minnesota) and will not win.

Georgia - Buckley has 3% of the vote.

Minnesota - Barkley has 15% of the total.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/main.results/#S>


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
14%
No
86%
Activity: H$36,209
Settled as No on Wed 5th Nov 2008 12:16pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 2008 12:16pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 29th Oct 2008 2:49pm PDT by yonemoto
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2008 10:39pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Flagged by super user: .
Suspended pending outcome.
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 2008 11:09am PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction = "No"

Only Oregon, Minnesota, Alaska and Georgia races have not been finalized by CNN.

Independents ran in two those states (Georgia and Minnesota) and will not win.

Georgia - Buckley has 3% of the vote.

Minnesota - Barkley has 15% of the total.

<http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/main.results/#S>
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 2008 11:46am PST by newswrangler[Power User]: *** DO NOT SETTLE BASED ON EARLIER REQUEST***

Need to double check if any winning Democrats actually ran under a different party.
Settled as 'No' Wed 5th Nov 2008 12:16pm PST by destry[Admin]: Winning prediction = "No"

Only Oregon, Minnesota, Alaska and Georgia races have not been finalized by CNN.

Independents ran in two those states (Georgia and Minnesota) and will not win.

Georgia - Buckley has 3% of the vote.

Minnesota - Barkley has 15% of the total.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/main.results/#S>

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 2008 12:16pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

9 weeks ago
gtown predicted No (H$667 at 86%)
9 weeks ago
jakethesnake predicted No (H$100 at 85%)
9 weeks ago
yonemoto predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 12%)

Comments (5)

  1 randburg
Joe Lieberman is regarded as an "independent Democrat", but is not up for re-election this year.
posted 10 weeks ago
  2 curios
There's always dragon he is independent? lol, but would he fit the roll?
posted 10 weeks ago
  3 randburg
He's a super-dragon XXL Republican, and we love him anyway...

What independent do you know that is going to be elected to the Senate?
posted 10 weeks ago
I might change my party to independent just so that the obama campaign wastes more of its money on trying to win my vote. Unfortunetly they would be falling onto deaf ears.
posted 10 weeks ago
  5 curios
i agree with you on Dragon, i think he is a REAL brick (AUSSIE EXPRESSION ) for a good guy. as to your 2nd part i am not really sure but as on the similar question i have said other, but in all probability it will be a retired officer (navy, army, or airforce)
posted 10 weeks ago

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