Created Thu 30th Oct 2008 12:14pm PST by

What will be the result of Friday's Gallup poll?

Settled as Obama +10 or more

Background: We're getting down to the wire with only 1 week to go before election day. Everyone else is starting to watch the polls obsessively, why should we be be any different? Let's try some daily poll prognostication and see how we do. Don't worry, the weekly one is still here.

Well Friday should start to show us the effects of the massive Obamercial, although the full effects will likely be measured in Sunday's poll. Will it tick upward? Or will there be a backlash? Or another wash out?

Note: Gallup polls are the result of a 3 day rolling average so the poll released on Tuesday will be based on surveys done on Saturday, Sunday and Monday nights. (Based on survey of REGISTERED voters)

Settlement details:As reported by Gallup near 1300EDT on Friday.

Forecast history %

Obama +10 or more

Obama +9

22%

Obama +8

32%

Obama +7

21%

Obama +6 or less

19%

Settled as Obama +10 or more on Fri 31st Oct 2008 9:54am PST

Activity: H$10,794
Predictions: 85
Comments: 6

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 2008 4am PST
Settlement date: Fri 31st Oct 2008 9:54am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 31st Oct 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama +10 or more: 10%, Obama +9: 20%, Obama +8: 35%, Obama +7: 20%, Obama +6 or less: 15%

Action history:

Created Thu 30th Oct 2008 12:15pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Suspended Fri 31st Oct 2008 4am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Obama +10 or more' Fri 31st Oct 2008 9:54am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

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Predictions (85)

1 year ago

esop

predicted Obama +8 (H$20 at 32%)

1 year ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

predicted Obama +10 or more (H$100 at 5%)

1 year ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

predicted Obama +9 (H$250 at 20%)

1 year ago

alanhaigh Level 12, Guru (H$30,882)

predicted Obama +6 or less (H$50 at 20%)

1 year ago

lamanchica Level 1, Newbie (H$1)

predicted Obama +8 (H$100 at 33%)

Comments (6)

cici

All I've ever done is lose money on this Gallup poll. Can't wait for this election to be over and go on welfare.

posted 1 year ago

eric_s_stacy Level 11, Legend (H$15,778)

If Obama wins do the folks with the most money on Hubdub have to "spread the wealth" with us that can't cut it on our own?

posted 1 year ago

valornhonor Level 10, Genius (H$11,543)

I feels very redemptive that THIS video is now the most watched:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TG4fe9GlWS8 (Iraqi war vet with video msg to Senator Obama)

So much more substantial that this one:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQ25-glGRzI (Avril Levine being a brat)

posted 1 year ago

valornhonor Level 10, Genius (H$11,543)

Dewey defeats Truman....

posted 1 year ago

notablenotices [Power User]

@valor:

I have been saying that too!

posted 1 year ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

Wow! Up 3! Who would have guessed? (Answer: ME!!)

posted 1 year ago

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