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When will British house prices rise again?

Settled as First quarter, 2009

Settled as First Quarter as the January reports showed that prices had risen.

"House prices rose by 1.9% during January - ending 10 consecutive months of price falls, Britain's biggest mortgage lender said."

The increase more than offset December's 1.6% drop and left the average home costing £163,966, according to Halifax.



http://uk.news.yahoo.com/fc/house-prices.html

Background:

Background: The average British home has seen almost £30,000 wiped from its value since the market peaked this time last year, according to a survey from the Nationwide Building Society.

House prices reached an all-time high in October 2007, with the typical home selling for £186,044; that has slumped to £158,872. Many households have seen more money lost on their home than they managed to earn from their jobs over the past 12 months. House prices are falling at an annual rate of 14.6 per cent, up from 12.4 per cent in September; values fell by 1.4 per cent in October alone, or about £95 a day.

Few are surprised by the decline. This week, the Bank of England reported that the number of new mortgage approvals continues to run at about 70 per cent below last year's levels. The credit crunch is restricting the supply of new mortgages, although there has been some easing in the money markets lately, which should feed through to mortgage offers.

A year into the crunch, £30,000 wiped off average house price - this article has a nifty forecast graph you can also check out.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Before 2009
2%
First quarter, 2009
69%
Second quarter, 2009
5%
Third quarter, 2009
5%
Fourth quarter, 2009
6%
First quarter, 2010
5%
Not by end of first quarter, 2010
8%
Settled as First quarter, 2009 on Mon 9th Feb 7:33pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 30th Jun 2010 3:59pm PST (31 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Mon 9th Feb 7:33pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Before 2009: 5%, First quarter, 2009: 15%, Second quarter, 2009: 15%, Third quarter, 2009: 15%, Fourth quarter, 2009: 15%, First quarter, 2010: 15%, Not by end of first quarter, 2010: 20%

Action history:

Created Thu 30th Oct 2008 5:24pm PST by tisha[Admin]
Settlement requested Mon 9th Feb 7:32am PST by predicta: Prices risen in January.
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/18/20090205/tuk-house-prices-climb-unexpectedly-in-j-a7ad41d_1.html
Settlement requested Mon 9th Feb 2:07pm PST by the_sp00n: House prices rose in january- see comments for details
Suspended Mon 9th Feb 3:17pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Examining settlement issues
Settled as 'First quarter, 2009' Mon 9th Feb 7:33pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Settled as First Quarter as the January reports showed that prices had risen.

"House prices rose by 1.9% during January - ending 10 consecutive months of price falls, Britain's biggest mortgage lender said."

The increase more than offset December's 1.6% drop and left the average home costing £163,966, according to Halifax.



http://uk.news.yahoo.com/fc/house-prices.html

Suspend date: Wed 30th Jun 2010 3:59pm PST (31 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Mon 9th Feb 7:33pm PST details

 

Predictions (74)

40 weeks ago
cheese predicted Not by end of first quarter, 2010 (H$50 at 8%)
40 weeks ago
predicta predicted First quarter, 2009 (H$5,000 at 43%)
40 weeks ago
oppugner predicted First quarter, 2009 (H$100 at 17%)
41 weeks ago
oocares predicted First quarter, 2009 (H$100 at 16%)
41 weeks ago
oocares predicted First quarter, 2009 (H$50 at 14%)

Comments (6)

  1 reuters
Which price survey are you using? Will feature on Reuters once clarified.
posted 49 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
The source for the information cited is as follows:

The average British home has seen almost £30,000 wiped from its value since the market peaked this time last year, according to a survey from the Nationwide Building Society.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/a-year-into-the-crunch-16330000-wiped-off-average-house-price-980247.html


I would presume the creator intend that reports from that source to be used in settlement.
posted 49 weeks ago
  3 oocares
British house prices climb unexpectedly;
.
House prices rose by 1.9% during January - ending 10 consecutive months of price falls, Britain's biggest mortgage lender said. Skip related content
Related content

The increase more than offset December's 1.6% drop and left the average home costing £163,966, according to Halifax.

The group stressed that it was important not to place too much emphasis on any one month's figures, but it added that there were some very early signs that market activity may be stabilising, although at quite a low level.

The annual rate of house price inflation, which measures prices in the previous three months compared with the same period a year ago, remained deep in negative territory at a new record low of minus 17.2%.
/
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/fc/house-prices.html
posted 41 weeks ago
  5 the_sp00n
As the people have said aboe, this should have settled
posted 40 weeks ago
Hmph. Given the fact that the possible settlement options were quarters, I had assumed that the result would have to be a quarterly rise in house prices, which this is not...
posted 40 weeks ago

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