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When will Facebook layoff staff and/or freeze hiring?

Background: Recent post from TechCrunch has raise the possibility of Facebook running out of money. One of their highest costs is staff and so in order to bring costs in line with revenue during a time when external funding is difficult to come by, laying off staff as many Internet companies have already done is a reasonable measure to reduce costs. Facebook may try to do this quietly (Cheryl Sandberg was at Google in the last downturn where they froze hiring) by freezing hiring.

http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/10/31/facebooks-growing-problem/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source, TechCrunch or VentureBeat

 
Forecast history %
Before Jan 1st 2009
7%
Q1 2009 (Jan to Mar)
24%
Q2 2009 (Apr to Jun)
22%
Q3 2009 (Jul to Sep)
18%
Q4 2009 (Oct to Dec)
13%
Later than 2009 or never
16%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before Jan 1st 2009: 10%, Q1 2009 (Jan to Mar): 30%, Q2 2009 (Apr to Jun): 30%, Q3 2009 (Jul to Sep): 15%, Q4 2009 (Oct to Dec): 10%, Later than 2009 or never: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 3rd Nov 2008 3:46am PST by simoncast
Suspended Fri 19th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 30th Dec 2008 8:17am PST by tomg[Admin]: was: "2008-12-19 15:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 30th Dec 2008 8:17am PST by tomg[Admin]: Suspend date brought in line with options.

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (43)

21 weeks ago
jank predicted Q4 2009 (Oct to Dec) (H$100 at 18%)
23 weeks ago
camicalm predicted Q4 2009 (Oct to Dec) (H$100 at 16%)
23 weeks ago
jank predicted Q4 2009 (Oct to Dec) (H$100 at 14%)
23 weeks ago
ether predicted Later than 2009 or never (H$500 at 17%)
23 weeks ago
ether predicted Q4 2009 (Oct to Dec) (H$100 at 13%)

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