Which state will have the highest Voter Turnout percentage?
Background: Already the media is buzzing about the record breaking early voting -- there have been reports of 3 hour lines in Florida and some polling places running out of ballots -- and that's before regular voting even begins! Clearly this one will be one of the history books, with more Americans voting that ever and the highest turnout in generations. But which state will have the highest turnout?
Some great data available here. The big story in 2000 and 2004 was the massive Evangelical turnout which helped to determine the election. This year looks to be very different as many Evangelicals are having trouble resonating with McCain while Obama turns out record numbers of African Americans and students. No telling if past elections will be much help in predicting this one.
*Please note: Scroll down for more options. There are more than 10 options here *
Candidates Home States:
Alaska, Arizona, Delaware, Illinois
Swing States (with massive Get Out the Vote drives):
Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado
States with large student or black populations:
California, South Carolina, Alabama
States with historical high Voter Turnout:
Minnesota, Maine, Iowa Settlement details:As reported on elections.gmu.edu
Measured by: VEP Highest Office Turnout Rate
Which state will have the highest Voter Turnout percentage?
Alaska
Arizona
Delaware
Illinois
Iowa
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Florida
California
Colorado
Minnesota
Alabama
Maine
Another state
South Carolina
Forecast history %
Current top options (scroll down for all options)
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| Minnesota | |
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| Another state | |
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| California | |
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| Iowa | |
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| Florida | |
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| Alaska | |
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| Ohio | |
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| Maine | |
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| Pennsylvania | |
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| South Carolina | |
Settled as Minnesota on Fri 7th Nov 2008 9:34am PST
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 3pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 7th Nov 2008 9:34am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Alaska: 9%, Arizona: 9%, Delaware: 9%, Illinois: 9%, Iowa: 7%, Pennsylvania: 7%, Ohio: 7%, Florida: 7%, California: 4%, Colorado: 5%, Minnesota: 5%, Alabama: 4%, Maine: 4%, Another state: 10%, South Carolina: 4%
Action history:
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2008 3pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2008 3pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 3pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 7th Nov 2008 9:34am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
All options
Predictions (441)
1 year ago
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
predicted
Another state (H$1 at 20%)
1 year ago
alanhaigh
predicted
Minnesota (H$35 at 49%)
1 year ago
cookietime
predicted
Minnesota (H$20 at 49%)
1 year ago
brinkj
predicted
Minnesota (H$5 at 49%)
1 year ago
brinkj predicted
Ohio (H$5 at 2%)
Comments (16)
jenniandboys
Comments: 16
: http://www.newrichmond-news.com/articles/index.cfm?id=18279§ion=Wisconsin%20News&property_id=18 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: http://www.newrichmond-news.com/articles/index.cfm?id=18279§ion=Wisconsin%20News&property_id=18 
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It's a MADHOUSE HERE and WERE LOVING EVERY MINUTE!!!
Measured by: VEP Highest Office Turnout Rate
I don't think it changes much, but I can't understand why Minnesota is played so low?
http://www.koat.com/politics/17916569/detail.html
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