Created Tue 4th Nov 2008 8:42pm PST by

jedc

How many US Supreme Court Justices will retire by the end of 2009?

Background: How many US Supreme Court Justices will retire now that the President will be a Democrat?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

None

90%

3 or more

Question suspends in 7 weeks

Activity: H$73,317
Predictions: 162
Comments: 10

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: None: 40%, 1: 40%, 2: 10%, 3 or more: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 4th Nov 2008 8:42pm PST by

jedc

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Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (162)

5 weeks ago

majorgeeky Level 8, Super-Pro (H$6,851)

predicted 1 (H$100 at 77%)

5 weeks ago

ozarkguy Level 12, Guru (H$38,944)

predicted 1 (H$1,000 at 74%)

6 weeks ago

flamingo Level 11, Legend (H$18,209)

predicted None (H$100 at 1%)

6 weeks ago

csykes Level 8, Super-Pro (H$6,721)

predicted 2 (H$52 at 34%)

6 weeks ago

horsefeathers Level 12, Guru (H$38,157)

predicted 2 (H$100 at 10%)

Comments (10)

coolkraft Level 14, Prophet (H$129,209)

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/03/13/justice-ginsburg-possible_n_174819.html

posted 34 weeks ago

jeopardy Level 13, Psychic (H$76,479)

Just reported: Souter tipped to retire at end of June term.

http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/04/30/justice.souter.retiring/

posted 27 weeks ago

jeopardy Level 13, Psychic (H$76,479)

Plus Ginsberg (cancer) and Stevens (the oldest at 89) are very likely candidates for retirement by end of year.

posted 27 weeks ago

theonecalledmichael Level 15, Seer (H$310,475)

retire or announce retirement?

posted 27 weeks ago

blacksoapman Level 10, Genius (H$12,149)

what do the Supreme Court Justices do draw straw to see who leaving when a new President get in?

posted 26 weeks ago

dieseldog Level 16, Oracle (H$584,370)

blacksoapman - don't know if thats a serious question or your just joking around. in case your serious. SCJ can leave at any time. i can't give you an accurate history as to when they decide to leave. their life time appointees. life can throw all kinds of unexspected things at a person. i'm guessing they try to leave in such a way that it don't disrupt the courts business.

posted 26 weeks ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$369,660)

How is this settled if one of them doesn't retire, but needs to be replaced for other reasons (let us say - there are a number of options, health, etc., etc.)?

posted 26 weeks ago

johnoday Level 11, Legend (H$22,314)

^^i think that would still be considered retirement.

posted 25 weeks ago

youbet Level 14, Prophet (H$151,111)

well spoken dieseldog

posted 8 weeks ago

Erik

‘Justice Ginsburg briefly hospitalized again’
AP - Thu Oct 15
“It was the second time Ginsburg, 76, has been hospitalized in the last month.”

posted 3 weeks ago

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