Created Tue 4th Nov 2008 10:20pm PST by 
orlin
orlin 
Will the Space Shuttle program be retired by the end of 2010, as planned?
Background: The addition of an extra mission to NASA's space shuttle flight manifest could significantly reduce the chance of retiring the orbiter fleet in 2010 as planned, possibly to as low as 5 percent, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said in a report released Monday [Nov 3, 2008].
The CBO studied risks associated with delaying the space shuttle's retirement and how that would affect work on the replacement system - consisting of the Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle and the Ares I launcher - which is expected to debut in 2015.
The report concluded there was a 20 to 60 percent chance NASA would be able to fly all of the 10 scheduled shuttle missions in the next two years. The addition of an 11th mission to transport the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer to the space station, as Congress has directed, would reduce that probability to between 5 and 30 percent, the CBO report said.
http://www.space.com/news/081104-nasa-shuttle-retirement-cbo.html
I choose the odds between the figures of CBO.
The CBO studied risks associated with delaying the space shuttle's retirement and how that would affect work on the replacement system - consisting of the Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle and the Ares I launcher - which is expected to debut in 2015.
The report concluded there was a 20 to 60 percent chance NASA would be able to fly all of the 10 scheduled shuttle missions in the next two years. The addition of an 11th mission to transport the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer to the space station, as Congress has directed, would reduce that probability to between 5 and 30 percent, the CBO report said.
http://www.space.com/news/081104-nasa-shuttle-retirement-cbo.html
I choose the odds between the figures of CBO.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
|
Question suspends in 1 year
- Activity: H$40,173 |
- Predictions: 82 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%
Action history:
Created Tue 4th Nov 2008 10:20pm PST by orlin
orlin
Changed Question text Sun 9th Nov 2008 7:37pm PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: ... Shuttle program retire by the end of
tisha: ... Shuttle program retire by the end of
Changed Description Sun 9th Nov 2008 7:37pm PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... released Monday [Nov 3, 2008]. <].<br/> The CBO studied risks ... expected to debut in 2015. <.<br/> The report concluded there ... percent, the CBO report said. <.<br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... -shuttle-retirement-cbo.html</a> <><br/> <br/> I choose the
Changed Description Sun 9th Nov 2008 7:58pm PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... released Monday [Nov 3, 2008].<]. <br/> The CBO studied risks ... expected to debut in 2015.<. <br/> The report concluded there ... percent, the CBO report said.<. <br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... -shuttle-retirement-cbo.html</a><> <br/> <br/> I choose the
Changed Description Sun 9th Nov 2008 7:58pm PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... released Monday [Nov 3, 2008]. <].<br/> The CBO studied risks ... expected to debut in 2015. <.<br/> The report concluded there ... percent, the CBO report said. <.<br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... -shuttle-retirement-cbo.html</a> <><br/> <br/> I choose the
Changed Question text Sun 9th Nov 2008 9:12pm PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... Will the Space Shuttle program retirebe retired by the end of 2010
Changed Description Sun 9th Nov 2008 9:12pm PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... released Monday [Nov 3, 2008].<]. <br/> The CBO studied risks ... expected to debut in 2015.<. <br/> The report concluded there ... percent, the CBO report said.<. <br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... -shuttle-retirement-cbo.html</a><> <br/> <br/> I choose the
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (82)
bigken1
predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
wyrm
predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
predicted Yes (H$500 at 37%)Comments (1)
Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service
Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Washington Post 27 weeks ago
Telescope has been another piece of gee-whiz space technology that will soon be only a museum exhibit: the space shuttle. There are only nine shuttle missions left, including the one that started when Atlantis blasted off through a thin layer of clouds
score: 10
Washington Post 27 weeks ago
Telescope has been another piece of gee-whiz space technology that will soon be only a museum exhibit: the space shuttle. There are only nine shuttle missions left, including the one that started when Atlantis blasted off through a thin layer of clouds
score: 10
Houston Chronicle 27 weeks ago
Calif., May 11 /PRNewswire/ -- Aerojet, a GenCorp (GY) company, announced today that its engines helped launch the Space Shuttle Atlantis from Kennedy Space Center on the last Shuttle mission to the Hubble Space Telescope. Aerojet propulsion was used to
score: 10
Telegraph 27 weeks ago
Nasa is turning to commercial companies to help guarantee America can keep a human presence in space after the shuttle is retired in 2010. The first Nasa budget to be drawn up under President Barack Obama has revealed that funds freed up by the
score: 10
Los Angeles Times 28 weeks ago
As NASA prepares to return to the moon, the head of a panel asked by President Obama to review the space agency's future said Friday that he planned to call upon
Related Tags
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/politics/6283605.html
No lifeline for the shuttle.
Please log in or join to add a comment