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Will Obama ask UK for more troops for Afghanistan?

Current forecast: 71% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 71% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

A central campaign promise of Obama's was to increase troop strength in Afghanistan, and another was his appreciation of the need to "finish the job" there. On November 5, 2008, the Independent published that:

"Foreign Secretary David Miliband said that the UK was "right" to maintain its existing 8,000-strong military commitment in Afghanistan. Britain would make its own judgment on force levels "as time progresses", he said." http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/obama-may-ask-uk-for-more-troops-994134.html

This question will settle as a "yes" if a major mainstream news source reports that Obama asked the UK before the suspend date for increased troop strength in Afghanistan. I am not asking whether the troops are actually sent.

the pic from Wikipedia shows a "political cartoon depicting Sher Ali Khan with his 'friends' Britain & Russia (1878)."


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
71%
No
29%
Activity: H$3,835
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 7:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 7:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
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Predictions (18)

18 predictions

1 week ago
eric_smith predicted No (H$50 at 29%)
4 weeks ago
raidersin09 predicted No (H$100 at 33%)
6 weeks ago
backinthebardo predicted No (H$20 at 32%)
8 weeks ago
capecodviking predicted No (H$50 at 32%)
9 weeks ago
jakethesnake predicted Yes (H$100 at 68%)
more

Comments (2)

see also this UK news on this question from June 2008 in Tiscali: http://www.tiscali.co.uk/news/newswire.php/news/pa/uknews/story2.html&template=/news/feeds/story-template-pa.html
posted 9 weeks ago
Taliban whopper: claim 5,220 foreign troops killed

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/national/1104ap_as_taliban_propaganda.html

The Taliban has long exaggerated its military successes, but its figures for 2008 may be the militia's most startling claims yet.

The Taliban claims its forces last year killed 5,220 foreign troops, downed 31 aircraft, destroyed 2,818 NATO and Afghan vehicles and killed 7,552 Afghan soldiers and police.
posted 2 days ago

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