Created Wed 5th Nov 2008 6:49pm PST by 
thetexas
All questions » Politics » US Politics » thetexas 
Will President Obama "be tested" as Biden suggested?
Current forecast: after 6 month, 1 day until the end of his admin (32% chance
)
)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is after 6 month, 1 day until the end of his admin with a probability of 32% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Senator Biden said that because Senator Obama has no experience that he will "be tested" by terrorists. When will a non military foreign US target, or one within the US be attacked (or attack foiled). I need to specify what "being tested" (as Biden said) means. If an American target in the US is attacked (which could be by an American terrorist or a foreign terrorist), then as Biden said, that would be a "test". If an non military target outside of the US (outside of a war zone) like a ship or embasy (again by a foreign terrorist or American terrorist) then that is a "test". Inaguration day is day 1.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
| Within a month |
| ||||
| month #2 to the 6 month mark |
| ||||
| after 6 month, 1 day until the end of his admin |
| ||||
| not at all |
|
Activity: H$4,355
Question suspends in 8 years
Suspend date: Fri 20th Jan 2017 11:59pm PST (8 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Within a month: 25%, month #2 to the 6 month mark: 25%, after 6 month, 1 day until the end of his admin: 25%, not at all: 25%
Action history:
Created Wed 5th Nov 2008 6:49pm PST by thetexas
thetexas
Changed Description Thu 6th Nov 2008 7:37am PST by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
destry: show details ... ". Inaguration day is day 1. <.<br/> Imagine that...this is attempt #3...Someone at Hubdub is a mega socialist that hates me! <br/> <br/> Voided Today 6:06pm CST by destry: Market voided. I attempted to edit the market title so it was offensive. I also attempted to edit the background to remove the personal reference to a user. I then was trying to edit your options because they lack coverage. You have 1month, 3-6 month, 6 months 1 day and later, not at all. So what happens if it is month 2. What is the end point? <br/> <br/> Ok...it ends when America is saved and President Obama is not president Obama...got it? <br/> No one has the right to question the odds because Senator Biden said "Mark my words" Obama will be tested WITHIN 6 months.
Suspend date: Fri 20th Jan 2017 11:59pm PST (8 years to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (14)
14 predictions
predicted Within a month (H$100 at 27%)
predicted month #2 to the 6 month mark (H$50 at 24%)
predicted Within a month (H$50 at 26%)
laynebuck
predicted Within a month (H$100 at 25%)
predicted month #2 to the 6 month mark (H$50 at 36%)
jjth
mrperfkt
predicted after 6 month, 1 day until the end of his admin (H$750 at 22%)Comments (5)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn moreRelated News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Houston Chronicle 1 day ago
attack on the horrendous scale of 9/11. Love him or loathe him, Bush made protecting the country from terrorism a priority for his presidency. So far, so good. That responsibility soon will fall on Barack Obama's shoulders. This is one ? maybe the only
score: 10
Reuters 1 day ago
By Steve Holland WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President-elect Barack Obama gave a strong defense on Tuesday to his unannounced choice to lead the CIA, Leon Panetta, in the face of criticism that Panetta lacks experience on intelligence matters. Two
score: 10
ABC News 2 days ago
Vice President-elect Joe Biden will visit Pakistan and Afghanistan in the coming days, ABC News has learned, just as tensions between India and Pakistan are increasing in the wake of the November terrorist
score: 10
International Herald Tribune 2 days ago
WASHINGTON: Vice President-elect Joe Biden will not wait to be inaugurated before embarking on the new administration's first overseas fact-finding trip. Biden will fly to undisclosed destinations in Southwest Asia this week. Although
score: 10
Vancouver Sun 3 days ago
President-elect Barack Obama Photograph by: Reuters OTTAWA â?? Asked shortly after the U.S. election whether heâ??d like Robert Gates to stay on as Pentagon chief, Defence Minister Peter MacKay said that
Related tags
New in Politics » US Politics
why should one be a socialist when you write poor questions?
Nov. 5 (Bloomberg) -- The stock market posted its biggest plunge following a presidential election as reports on jobs and service industries stoked concern the economy will worsen even as President-elect Barack Obama tries to stimulate growth.
Please log in or join to add a comment